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Anyone use the 2008 election simulator on 270towin.com?

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 11:09 PM
Original message
Anyone use the 2008 election simulator on 270towin.com?
http://www.270towin.com/simulation/

It's interesting to look at. Right now it means nothing, but Obama so far has a 70% chance of winning their simulator. They say, though I don't know, it was pretty spot on four years ago.

This would be a handy tool on election day. Right now, though, it just gives the current trend.
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 11:14 PM
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1. I just did it and we lost ...... that was NOT superfun. NT
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. ne'er mind, we won the next one....
.... I dont get it ......... could I not achieve simmilar results with my Magic 8 Ball?
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. No.
It takes the average of each state's poll numbers and then when you run the simulation, it chooses each state based on how likely it will go to either McCain or Obama. You lost because there is still a chance McCain wins this thing. However, if you run the simulation 1,000 times, Obama wins over 70% of the time.
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 11:22 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. NO! DONT SAY THAT!!! NO!!!! (covering my eyes) NT lol
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