Brand New Missouri Poll: Obama - McCain within the margin of error!

[usregimechange]

Among the 800 likely Missouri voters polled last week, 49 percent favored McCain compared to 45 percent for Obama. The remaining 6 percent were undecided, or split between the three minor-party tickets on the ballot.

McCain's recent lead is within the poll's margin of error of 3.5 percentage points for each number. That means McCain could have a stronger advantage, or Obama could have a narrow edge.

http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/43895DDA1683ECEE862574CA00119713?OpenDocument

[Pirate Smile]

1. Turn out and changing the voter demographics through the huge voter registration drives by Obama is

going to determine who wins many of these close states. Keep plugging away.

[usregimechange]

2. The pollster notes the ground game here:

Republicans say privately that there's little need for McCain to elevate his grass-roots presence and staffing in Missouri, as long as polls continue to show him in the lead.

But given the state of the nation's economy, Ali warned, "I think that's a risky move."

Ibid

[RooseveltTruman]

4. Also...

Also keep in mind, Missouri is the premiere bellwether state of the nation. In the last 108 years--a total of 27 elections--Missouri has only voted for the loser twice: in in 1900 and 1956 (both times for Democrats, too).

Also keep in mind that no Democrat has won the White House without Missouri.

A lot of people are writing off Missouri at the stage of the game, for whatever reason. But I think it's one of the most interesting states, and it will be VERY interesting to see who it ultimately ends up going for.

[usregimechange]

5. We have a good ground operation here.

[redstate_democrat]

6. Remember, Obama won the primaries here.

This state is his.

[Hope And Change]

3. K & R!