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Marist: Ohio Tied, Obama Leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania

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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:50 AM
Original message
Marist: Ohio Tied, Obama Leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania
New polls from Marist College in key batteground states are out this morning:

Ohio: Obama 44%, McCain 44%

Michigan: Obama 50%, McCain 41%

Pennsylvania: Obama 45%, McCain 42%

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:51 AM
Response to Original message
1. Good on Michigan and Pennsylvania
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:51 AM
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2. I feel much better about Michigan and Pennsylvania.
I think we can take Ohio, too.
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:54 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. I find it creepy that Obama is only up by 3 in PA.
I'd like to see a much wider lead in PA.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. look at my post below about likely voters, according to this poll.
by the way PA was close in '04 too, Kerry only won it by 3-points.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:56 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. He'll win PA by 3%
.
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
3. All excellent news
Edited on Fri Sep-19-08 10:53 AM by mvd
OH seems to be trending our way, and with likely voters, it's 49% to 44% in Pennsylvania.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
4. Note the good news among likely voters in the PA poll:
Likely voters in the state, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, give Barack Obama the advantage over McCain -- 49% to 44%


http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/PApolls/PA080919.htm
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. P.S. and when likely voters are factored in Ohio Obama leads by two
When likely Ohio voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, are factored into the equation, Obama has 47% to McCain’s 45%.

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/OHpolls/OH080919.htm
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Curtland1015 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:55 AM
Response to Original message
7. Very promising. Nice to know it's among "likely voters" as well...
...that probably means we're really running several percentage points higher than the polls are showing.
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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
10. Obama 47%, McCain’s 45% - among likely Ohio voters.
When likely Ohio voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, are factored into the equation, Obama has 47% to McCain’s 45%.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
11. And among likely voters in Michigan Obama leads by 11...
Obama maintains his lead among the state’s likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a specific candidate. 52% of likely voters say they favor Obama compared with 43% who back McCain.

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/MIpolls/MI080919.htm
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-08 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
12. another interesting fact about this poll, taken 9/11-15 so before all the bad economic news.
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