Ron Paul to be on Montana ballot

[darius15]

The Constitution Party of Montana has submitted Ron Paul as their nominee, meaning he’ll be on the Montana ballot with McCain and Obama (and Nader and Barr), according to Left in the West.

Writes Matt Singer:

Ron Paul is a big enough name in enough of Montana that this could cause some trouble for John McCain.

In the GOP primary, Paul drew over 20,000 votes. Consider the closely fought 2006 Senate race, ultimately decided by 3,500 votes and 20,000 votes could be a big deal, especially if Bob Barr (a more credible nominee than the Libertarians have had in some time) pulls the same 1,700 votes the Libertarians drew in ‘04.

By means of comparison, Nader and the Green nominee combined in ‘04 received about 7,000 votes total in Montana.

All told—this could be about a 14,000 net vote advantage for the Ds, just based on the other names on the ballot.

Obama has a shot at winning Montana and its three electoral votes, according to the few polls conducted in the state so far. A Democrat hasn’t won the state since Clinton in 1992 when Perot changed the math.


Republican Caucus 2008:
Romney 38%
PAUL 25%
McCain 22%
Huckabee 15%


Paul is popular up here, I think he could get 3-4 percent. Although a new poll after the Repub convention showed McCain up 11, remember that before the convention bounce McCain was only up 2-3 percent. If Obama can bring it back to a 2-3 point difference, Paul could be the difference.

[ClarkBayh 2008]

1. Paul is going to back Barr?

what's the story ? CNN just announced it.

[darius15]

4. I heard he wasn't going to endorese McCain or Obama

so I guess that leaves Nader, Barr, McKinney.

[renate]

2. yay!

:woohoo::woohoo::woohoo::woohoo::woohoo::woohoo:

[AllieB]

3. GREAT news!

:woohoo:

[Wetzelbill]

5. Obama can win MT

Paul should help. I think registration and turnout will be key. Indians love Obama, and they are a key voting block in MT. Indians and the big college town Missoula, they put Tester and Schweitzer over the top the last few years. Popular Dems, Max Baucus and Brian Schweitzer are both up for reelection too.

[wiseoldman]

6. Montana GOIN Blue!

Great news:

up here in northwest Montana I am surrounded by Ron Paul signs... I can't find a McSame sign! I been lookin fer some cause I need some target practice!

MONTANA GOIN BLUE!

[DangerousRhythm]

7. Seriously?? +3 for us then, I HOPE. :D

This is some good news! I wonder if this is what that press conference will be about.