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Polls: Look at the internals, and chill out.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
NWHarkness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:14 PM
Original message
Polls: Look at the internals, and chill out.
Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 09:15 PM by NWHarkness
Before freaking out at polls showing McCain surging ahead, it's a good idea to actually look at the specifics of the polling.

Most of McCain's bump has been caused by the pollster's decision to boost the number of identified Republicans sampled. They believe this is justified because of the assumption that Palin will rally conservatives who were unlikely to vote before. So, take these polls with a grain of salt, and remember, back during the primaries, the pollsters got damn near every election wrong, sometimes by wide margins.

In other words:

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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. do you have the internals?
I'd like to do some fancy math on them.
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NWHarkness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Not on the USA/Gallup yet
(Which, by the way, have been lousy not just this year, but for a long, long time)

But in all the other post convention polls I've seen, the percentage of GOP has been boosted.I'm betting that the same is true here as well.
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Richardo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. That is a great graphic
:rofl:
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27inCali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:16 PM
Response to Original message
3. YES!
But you know, to the worry warts, us positive cats are a bunch of thoughtless cool-aid drinking echo chambers -or something like that.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:18 PM
Response to Original message
4. Still get a kick out of your Picture/Sig! Hilarious...and true!
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Peacetrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
6. I am beginning to think we need a community cpr event
Edited on Sun Sep-07-08 09:22 PM by peacetrain
;)..
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NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
7. LOL...I GOT THIS....
We are going to win....I look forward to the post-election DU...

:patriot:
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