Intrade Market Odds: Obama 57 - McCain 41.3

[ClarkUSA]

Just a reminder who the serious bettors are banking on... stop responding to the fear trolls and the Palin PC Police
and get out there and register voters and/or do voter-to-voter contact for Team Obama (the latter can be done
from your home).

[TheDonkey]

1. for historic perspective what were these markets saying in 2004?

[ClarkUSA]

4. Dunno; fortunately, this time around, Ohio's SoS is a liberal Democrat who lived thru '04 n/t

[dchill]

17. I think these markets...

are too new for 2004.

[my3boyz]

2. Obama was way ahead here before. nt

[ClarkUSA]

5. "way ahead"? Wrong. He's ticked down a little while McCain's ticked up a little.

Thanks for your concern, though. Jerk.

[my3boyz]

9. Please! For months Obama was like 70% or something and McCain was

at pathetic margins. I wish I had the amounts for each month. However, whenever someone would post intrade Barack was waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay ahead. He is still ahead but not by nearly as much. Sorry if the truth hurts!

[ClarkUSA]

12. Wrong again. Obama has been in the mid 60's for months while McCain was in the mid-30's.

Jerk.

[my3boyz]

16. Exactly. Obama was way ahead. Now Obama had dropped while McCain has improved.

I have no idea why you want to put your head in the sand. Oh and are you in middle school? Why do you feel the need to call a person a name because they say something you don't agree with. Childish...there's a description!

[Dawgs]

3. Is that supposed to be good news?

Oh boy!!

[ClarkUSA]

7. Well, I'd rather be in Obama's place than McCain's. Debbie Downer much?

Instead of moaning, why don't you do something to help Team Obama with voter contact/registration?

[writes3000]

10. Because that would help and I don't get the sense that's what the real objective is with this one.

Complaining on a message board to other Dems is really not doing much.

[ClarkUSA]

13. Yup, there are many who are expressly here today to depress our spirits.

The PUMA and McCain concern trolls are out in force today.

[JoshDem]

6. Thanks for nothing. McCain is at all-time high and Obama is slipping

This just adds to the recent spell of bad news.

[ClarkUSA]

8. Remember folks, the McCain campaign is offering prizes for trolling comments on Dem blogs...

Jerk.

[NorthCarolina]

11. But do those odds assume a free and honest election

or do they take the influence of election fraud into account?

[ClarkUSA]

14. True.

Thankfully, Team Obama has been gathering a legal team for months to fight voter fraud. Their top lawyer, Bob Bauer,
is the guy who argued for Gore in front of the Supreme Court in 2000. Don't forget, Obama taught about voter suppression
in his Constitutional Law class. They know.

[orwell]

15. In looking at the charts...

Obama's odds broke below his long term consolidation while McLame's broke above his. Both events happened yesterday, probably due to a tightening in the polls. Also contract volume has significantly increased in the last 3 days or so, breaking above recent historical norms. All of this indicates a perceived increase in McSame's chances are far as the bettors are concerned. It will probably strengthen in the next few days as breakouts are usually either followed by consolidations or continuation of the breakout trend.

[noel711]

18. The In-Trade markets have a record...

the last 2 elections they predicted Bush.
Guess who won.

This year they are predicting a republican winner.
For months Obama soared above.

last week, before her speech, they were betting
on McCain losing Palin before the election.
Now that issue is moot.

But let's be real: most of the folks who play
the market speculation tend to be republicans...

most democrats don't have the spare cash to
do anything, much less play the spec market.

[geek tragedy]

19. Since you started this thread, it's moved to 56.5 - 43.6. n/t