Help with Poll about presidential election: a statistical study

[mattstat]

When you have a chance, please log on to

• http://wmbriggs.com/president.php

and guess who will win the election this year.

This poll closes on 11:50 pm 14 September 2008. No guessing can take place after that. I will post this story a few times over the next week to maximize visibility.

I am testing the ability of people to guess elections at a point where the amount of information known about each candidate is roughly the same. The site and poll is completely anonymous.

Please, please do not try and stuff the ballot box by voting more than once. There is nothing to be gained in this because I will not release any results until after the election is over. (I will also remove duplicate records.)

Please tell everybody you know, of every political background, liberal, moderate, or conservative. Email them the link above. If you can, link to http://wmbriggs.com/blog/2008/09/05/predict-who-will-win-the-us-presidential-race/ on other blogs so that we get as large a sample as possible.

Please, pretty please answer the 6 questions honestly.

Once the election is over, the analysis will appear at this web site.

Thank you very much!