http://starbulletin.com/2008/08/10/editorial/commentary2.htmlThe coming Republican fall
Larry Meacham
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Other Obama advantages:
» Most voters don't know that McCain is anti-abortion. They'll find out soon enough.
» Many seniors think McCain is too old to be president. They ought to know.
» McCain admits he doesn't know how to use a computer.
» People blame foreclosures and high gas prices on Republicans.
» Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki agreed with Obama on a timetable for a U.S. pullout. McCain belatedly agreed with Obama that we need more troops in Afghanistan. And Bush implicitly agreed with Obama about negotiating with our enemies by sending a high-level diplomat to talk to Iran.
» Obama's speeches are the best we've heard in 40 years.
» On energy, welfare reform, capital punishment, faith and national security, he has moved toward the center, where the votes are.
» Obama's campaign is an awesome machine, registering record numbers of new voters, training and deploying record numbers of volunteers to turn out record numbers of people on election day, and using the Internet to self-organize supporters and raise record amounts of money -- $52 million last month. McCain's campaign is always fighting, changing its message, reorganizing and running out of money, despite George Bush's stealth fundraisers. The Bushies now running McCain's campaign are going negative. Too late -- people already know Obama.
» The Obama campaign has enough money for a 50-state strategy, forcing McCain to defend everywhere. For instance, Obama's people are registering large numbers of new black voters in normally Republican Georgia and North Carolina.
» Hillary Clinton is supporting Obama. Jesse Jackson attacked him, which probably helped with white voters.
» Less than 10 percent of voters are undecided (far less than usual at this stage) and women, Latinos, youth and blacks heavily favor Obama. His support of faith-based initiatives and a vigorous religious outreach campaign mean he will also peel off some evangelicals and Catholics.
Congress looks even worse for Republicans. Twenty-nine incumbents are retiring. Democrats have won three special elections in Republican House districts and will probably gain five to seven seats in the Senate.
And the inevitable disappointment after the election? Guess again. There are almost 2 million names in Obama's database. Imagine if they all e-mailed Congress on the same day. Terrified lawmakers might actually do the right thing.