very important question: mi, ia, oh, pa, fl, wi, mo. which is the most

[faithnotgreed]

battleground of these battleground states. i realize pa and mi (and now maybe ohio we learn!) is already tilting our way

1) which one will be the tightest
2) which state would you work hardest for/which needs the most help

thank you for this information. i really do need to know and appreciate all feedback

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. how do we know you won't use our valuable information for nefarious

purposes?

[faithnotgreed]

5. nefarious? i do hope youre kidding but just incase ill give it a go

because i would like to donate and get involved in other ways. i live in the most democratic part of the country and gotv here where they vote 90% democratic, while awesome, isnt the help jk needs.

so i wanted to ask the great activist people on du: which state needs help the most?

thank you to everyone who has responded. i do appreciate it

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. we are a fount or is it fountain of wisdom at this site...

we must be careful with whom we share our political acumen


-:)

[faithnotgreed]

8. tis exactly why i would come to you to ask the question! thank you

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. TY

I was just being a wise ass


-:)

[Wickerman]

2. What about Minnesota?

Its one that hasn't gone Repub in decades, was close last time, looks close these days?

[shockingelk]

16. I'm not worried about MN

There were scads of first time voters that showed up to my precinct's caucus. It was the first time the precinct's delegates were used up also used all the alternate spots. It was like that all across my district as well - so many new people there were two special "how to be a delegate" sessions.

All my non-political friends are excited about voting. And yes, they're all "anybody but Bush" votes. You can register the same day as voting here, of course.

Perhaps the burbs and rural areas are somewhat energized for Bush, but I seriously doubt they will turn out to vote in anywhere near the numbers as in the cities.

[King of New Orleans]

3. I'd say Wisconsin, Missouri and Florida

I'd like/want to win all three.

I'd expect Wisconsin the most likely

Florida seems to be trending toward the Dems and may not be as hard as we think.

Missouri will be close no matter what.

[faithnotgreed]

14. thanks king. it does seem mo is the winner of this question so far...

[Parche]

4. battleground

I have said how OH and MO go, so does this erection, er I mean
election, thanks to Matcom for nasty thoughts

[PaDem]

7. Florida, Ohio and Mizzou

are the most important for Bush for sure. If he loses any one of them he has to make up ground elsewhere. Michigan and PA are going to go to Kerry. I'd be surprised if Iowa or WI goes to Bush. I think Kerry wins if he can take just one of FLA, OH and MO. It is possible Kerry could win without winning onde of those states, but his margin for error would be nille. He'd need to take NH and WV and all the Gore states (and maybe NV too?).

[faithnotgreed]

thank you pa dem and welcome to du!

yeah - almost best to focus the greatest on mo and oh i guess.

unfortunately, better to work hard down in florida but not depend upon it....

[JNelson6563]

9. Michigan!!!

I am here and we are hauling ass to make sure the state stays blue in 04. It's a tough fight cause we have a lot of kool-aid drinkers but we are making big progress.

:toast:

Julie

[faithnotgreed]

13. thanks julie! i see your posts sometimes and it seems clear

youre working hard for the cause

thank you so very much

[Feanorcurufinwe]

11. Missouri

it has a tendency to be a bellwether, it has a lot of electoral votes, polls indicate a very tight race, and it is getting slightly less focus than OH and FL

[faithnotgreed]

12. thats a good point. thank you

[fujiyama]

15. Of those listed

Kerry absolutely needs MI and PA to win. He seems pretty strong in both states and barring a landslide will win those two states IMO.

Of course Kerry should keep all Gore states -- IA, WI, and MN as well. All three were close especially IA and WI. WI is worth 10 EVs. IA 7.

Of those states that Gore lost, OH (20) and FL (27) are probably considered most important, but there is probably some apprehension of FL regarding Jeb, electronic voting, and electoral fraud in general. Either way, Kerry has been leading there in the most recent polls (by 6 and 7 points).

MO is also very close and is worth 11 EVs I think. Gore lost it by 3 points and I think Kerry has a shot.

Some other states that Kerry has a chance in picking up are NV, WV, and NH. If he wins these three + Gore states he wins by 270-274 EVs.

[LoZoccolo]

17. It changes every day, but you can get an idea of how to track it here.

http://www.electoral-vote.com

Hover your arrow over each state to see the results.