Definitive Refutation of the Cambodia-Kerry Accusation
by balta1701
Wed Aug 11th, 2004 at 22:42:25 GMT
Ok, given the people in the comments at my blog who seem to be anxious about seeing my response to the Swift Boat people's allegation that Kerry was not in Cambodia as he claimed for Christmas in 1968.
This is going to be a fairly detailed look at the question, so hold onto your butts.
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Having read this excerpt of the book by the Swift Boat people who might have known Kerry, here is a brief summary of the group's argument. First, Kerry has said repeatedly that he was in Cambodia for Christmas, 1968, and that this was an example of a war crime on the part of the U.S. - violation of the territory of a soverign country. He attacked Reagan with that memory in the 80's. It was also discussed in a Kerry Documentary book that came out earlier this year. Supposedly, Kerry even has a souvenir from his trip there.
However, according to the book, there are several reasons to question this story. First and foremost, the Swift boat people's suggest that there were obstacles in the way to prevent border crossings. Secondly, at the time, Kerry's boat was supposedly stationned/on patrol up to a city called Sa Dec, 55 miles from the Cambodian Border. And Third; the records of many of the officers that commanded the Swift Boats say that there weren't troops heading across the Cambodian border at the time, and Mr. Kerry would in fact have been punished for going there. These elements combine to suggest that Kerry has been lying about his voyage into Cambodia for Christmas, 1968. If you want more details, read the excerpt cited above.
Now that you have been educated on that side of the question, let's look at the other side, to see if it's at all possible that Mr. Kerry is actually correct. If its totally impossible that Kerry was in the area, that answers the question. Let's see what we can come up with on those matters.
First, I am going to deal with the easiest question in this; is it possible that Mr. Kerry could have been in Cambodia given his other whereabouts around that time. The answer to that is simply yes; it is possible. The only way it would have been impossible is if a.) he had put in for supplies or fuel at a location so far away from Cambodia where he could not have reached it given the fuel or the time or b.) his location could firmly be documented to be somewhere else on that day.
The first question is answered simply yes; these swift boats carried supplies and fuel to run about 400 miles, and could travel at speeds up to 20-25 knots. If Kerry had been at the location they suggest he was based at, he could have reached Cambodia in a roughly short trip, operated there for quite some time, and returned, without having to worry about fuel or food status in the least. Secondly, and this is the first time we are going to hit upon this problem which will come up repeatedly; there are no documents that say exactly where Mr. Kerry's boat was at the time. If there were, the Swift Boat vets would have had them; they have basically as much access as Kerry does (even more if you assume Bush support). If those documents existed that proved conclusively that Kerry refueled in Saigon at 3:00 a.m. on Christmas morning, we'd have seen them by now.
Therefore, it is not totally impossible that Kerry's boat was in Cambodia that night. Next, we will go 1 step further, and start to look at the military circumstances of the time. The Swift group alleges that there were significant obstacles to a boat crossing into Cambodia. Specifically, they allege that there were signs, boats, and even a landing craft in the way that would have stopped any boat from crossing the border.
But wait 1 second, let's think about the nature of the Mekong River in this area. If the Mekong were like the Mississippi around St. Louis, it would be easy to block off in this manner - there would be 1 channel and you'd just have to block it with 1 boat and a few signs. However, the Mekong is not like the Mississippi, in fact its actually far worse than even the Mississippi delta. The last map I linked to showed an area that was blue representing the river that was at least 5 miles wide. Here is a much better map, with more details. The Purple line in the map is the SV - Cambodia border.
On this map, you can see clearly, the Mekong is nothing close to 1 solid river in the area of the border. In fact, there are a large number of channels, with marshes, swampland, oxbow lakes, islands, and almost every other marine feature you could imagine inbetween them. If you zoom out to the full Cambodia map, you can clearly see that these channels are all part of the Mekong complex that runs down from the Himalayas.
Now, this does suggest a major problem with the Swift boat people's story; they say that there was an LCU (Landing Craft Utility) in the way that blocked the border. But wait just a second, given the large number of variable channels, islands, marshes, and different paths one could take across the Cambodian Border, how exactly would a single LCU be able to actually block the border? Short answer - it couldn't. You would need dozens of them. The swift Boats were small, floated light, and could go in shallow water - they could go through a huge number of channels without trouble. This passage in the book is designed to appeal to people who think of rivers like the Mississippi - 1 giant stream easy to block, when in reality this area would have more water-based paths through it than I can count. The maps prove that.
More likely, either there wasn't really an LCU there, or the U.S. really wasn't interested in blocking off the border completely - by having a single LCU there the U.S. could say that they had boats to block the border and it wasn't the U.S. boats journeying into Cambodia any time a foreign minister asked (even if the U.S. really was going in). Besides, given the sheer number of VC troops in the area of the delta at this time, an LCU sitting there would probably have been committing suicide. It'd be vulnerable to snipers, mortars, and everything else in the arsenal (will back that up more in a moment)
More ...
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/8/11/184226/148Am I making you smile yet?
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