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Predictions for West Virginia: Clinton: 72%, Obama 28%

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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:36 PM
Original message
Predictions for West Virginia: Clinton: 72%, Obama 28%
It is what it is.
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. More or less what you said.
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MikeDJohn Donating Member (122 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
2. So what?
Obama got more votes in FL than Hillary in W V!

More delegates for him, too, from FL, than Hillary gets tomorrow.
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
3. Drop in the bucket, my friend, drop in the bucket.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
4. Anything less than 80% for Clinton is a failure
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Judge_Mental Donating Member (52 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:41 PM
Response to Reply #4
39. Good Answer
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CitizenLeft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #39
58. Dear God.
And they're so proud of their sign.

"Barock Hussian Obama."

Wow.
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mrreowwr_kittty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #39
68. Oh. My. God.
On so many levels...
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DemVet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #4
70. That is utterly ridiculous.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
5. I could see there being something of an opposite-white-lie effect...
Where a certain number of white folks talk the racist talk in public without believing it, but are too wussy to speak up about it.

So maybe I'll call it 71-29. Call me an optimist.

:rofl:
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tyne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. It is what it is.....
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knixphan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:40 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. oh man, doesn't that just say it all.
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:41 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. that is some photo
I haven't seen anything like that since I passed by a Cracker Barrel at 5pm.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:42 PM
Response to Reply #6
13. Gawd I love my people!
:rofl:
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greguganus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #13
60. They all look alike.??? n/t
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. that sign is hilarious
aside from the fact that theres only 1 man in the entire picture, and the average age of the women is like 65, they even managed to get the spelling wrong

almost as good as this one...

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Carrieyazel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #14
46. Where was that picture taken? What state?
I know its about 5 years old or so.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
15. You know what the saddest about that picture
If there was a nasty sign about Hillary at an Obama event his staff would confiscate it.

Hillary has no class or no staff. Can't figure out which one.
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #6
19. I see you and raise you this.. "why lie, it's for beer"
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verges Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:35 PM
Response to Reply #19
65. I'd not seen
those Mao portraits of Hillary.
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:39 PM
Response to Reply #65
72. I first saw them at her Philadelphia rally, thought they were a joke.
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Basement Beat Donating Member (303 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #19
83. Hmmm
I actually think those Hillary posters are pretty cool.
:)
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #83
84. I'm slightly obsessed with them
I couldn't find it for sale, or the Mao poster that it's referencing, but it inspired me to make this
:dunce:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5668796#5676362
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:04 PM
Response to Reply #6
30. That line reminds me of Boogie Nights..
When Jack finally gives in to videotape and all hell breaks loose.
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mtf80123 Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
40. You know.
I fully respect Hillary... and I support her Health Care and Energy programs over any other candidate.

But I still know/feel that Obama will bring more positive changes to this country than the Clintons could ever wish for.

Sorry Bill. I love ya... but we need a new generation in charge now.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
8. Too big a spread
65% to 35% max.
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. 65-35... i will be generous, he is the "presumtive nominee" after all... lol
Edited on Mon May-12-08 05:41 PM by Texas Hill Country
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:55 PM
Response to Reply #9
27. As much as it kills you......
He is.

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knixphan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
11. would Barack beat anyone in West Virginia? Anyone?
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MikeDJohn Donating Member (122 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. There's got to be another AA in W Va he could beat.......maybe close though.............
Just kidding...........but a serious question, how many elected black officials exist in WV?

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PM7nj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #11
21. Rev Wright
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #21
28. ! -
Pukes will be voting.

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PM7nj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:13 PM
Response to Reply #28
31. hahaha
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Buck Rabbit Donating Member (999 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:00 PM
Response to Reply #11
71. Yes... Rich Rodriguez.
Edited on Mon May-12-08 10:03 PM by Buck Rabbit
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kid a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
12. just round that up to 50%
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dcindian Donating Member (881 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
16. H 58 O 42
I think the fact that she cannot win the primary will turn some Hillary voters off. But then again Obama supporters might think its in the bag so not go out to vote.

I think the number of Democrat voters vs. Republican voters will be the real story here.
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kid a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #16
22. that would be devastating to her campaign....
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PM7nj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #16
24. I think Repubs already had their primary in WV.
Didn't Huckabee win by 5000% ?
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #16
33. No way. She's got this one all locked up.
It is what it is.

NGU.


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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:46 PM
Response to Original message
18. I think Edwards might get like 5%
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:50 PM
Response to Original message
20. It is what it is²
he HAS been assimilated..resistance was futile.. he likes yams
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knixphan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #20
47. LOL!
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:02 PM
Response to Reply #47
51. Made a campaign poster for Hillary in WV
Edited on Mon May-12-08 09:19 PM by SoCalDem
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stop the bleeding Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #20
50. Oh lord
:beer:
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Yanez Houston Jordan Donating Member (317 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
23. Didn't Bill set the bar at 80% to 90%? I'm thinking she failed horribly if she gets 65%.
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #23
26. no, that was a rally cry, it wasnt a prediction....
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Bensthename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
25. Obama 101% Hillary -1%
:smoke:
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:00 PM
Response to Original message
29. Obama's polling better than Clinton among Independents. Who are these Independents??
from the suffolk poll, he beats her 42/36
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
32. Clinton 67, Obama 33.
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ChimpersMcSmirkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #32
34. Yeah, 65 Hill - 35 Barack
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:59 PM
Response to Reply #32
79. I think 2:1 is a fair guess.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:34 PM
Response to Original message
35. 110% to who gives a crap.
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:38 PM
Response to Original message
36. Edwards 5, Clinton 66, Obama 28
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Aloha Spirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:11 PM
Response to Reply #36
86. Sweet! Now who wants to hire me? Any takers?
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kennetha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:39 PM
Response to Original message
37. It would sure be nice if Hillary got over 85% in all CD in WV
That way Obama would be shut out of delegates. That would sure send a powerful message to the Supers about his unelectability.


My Prediction (based on nothing but hope and wishful thinking, admittedly) C: 86; O 12; E2

All the delegates be Hillary's!


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mrreowwr_kittty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #37
69. He sure seems to be unelectable to some people, doesn't he?


You must be so proud.
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:41 PM
Response to Original message
38. Hillary won't do well unless she gets 86% of the vote
Edited on Mon May-12-08 06:53 PM by rocknation
If Obama can manage 37%, he'll come out unscathed mathematically.

:headbang:
rocknation
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New Dawn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:52 PM
Response to Original message
41. I think he'll win over 30%.
That being said, it really doesn't matter much. Obama will will Oregon next week anyway.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:53 PM
Response to Original message
42. My Prediction
Hillary 70 Percent

Obama 30 Percent

Expect the MSM to go all on how Obama Is so weak after West Virginia.
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knixphan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 08:49 PM
Response to Reply #42
48. totally. The MSM will have nothing else to do...
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 06:55 PM
Response to Original message
43. 85 Clinton 15 Obama
Total blowout. There will be at least one district where he's not even viable.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #43
52. Clinton 112... Obama minus eleventy-seven
makes as much difference and aything else
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mtf80123 Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
44. In 2004, West Virginia Presidential results were
Bush 417,516
Kerry 322,276
Other 5,302
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #44
49. Wonder how those Bush 417,516 people feel
about their vote in 2004? Did they get fooled?
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
45. Democrat x%. Democrat x%. Whoever wins, we take WV in November.
I LIKE IT!
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PM7nj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:09 PM
Response to Reply #45
55. Doubt it.
Hillary has a chance of winning WV but Obama doesn't.
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Zachstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:07 PM
Response to Original message
53. Obama 35
I think that we will be pleasantly surprised.

There has been some hard work in that state and I would be happy to see it within 10 if at all possible.

But 35 is more likely.
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hokies4ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:08 PM
Response to Original message
54. Obama has run ads in WV for a few weeks now
So don't underestimate him. It'll probably be closer to a 65-35 or 60-40. The media has done a great job for Obama pushing the theme that it's over for Hillary.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:10 PM
Response to Original message
56. 65-35 for Hill. So what? Obama has won several states by 30 pts or more.
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kevinbgoode Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:56 PM
Response to Reply #56
77. But Hillary doesn't think those states count.
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graycem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:11 PM
Response to Original message
57. I'll follow Obama's lead
and go with what Bill said... 80-20%.
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L0oniX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
59. I predict we won't give a shit what the out come is in hicksville
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #59
62. I think that state will take alot of heat from the pundits tomorrow
There is no other way to justify it. Pretty shameful.
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mtf80123 Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #62
64. Lurn to eenunxiate
it is pernownsed....

pur..dee
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L0oniX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:43 PM
Response to Reply #62
67. The vote for Hillary, knowing that she has lost, means they are voting against Obama.
Edited on Mon May-12-08 09:44 PM by L0oniX
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #67
76. Same thing happened to McCain in Kansas
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ellisonz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
61. 62-38
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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
63. Hillary 68 - Obama 32
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 09:39 PM
Response to Original message
66. With 18 delegates, that would give her 12 maybe to Obama getting 6?
That would give Obama 1881 delegates to Clinton's 1611.5

It's over.
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workinclasszero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
73. I predict Obama will still be the Dem nominee after WV
and Kentucky and Oregon!:toast:
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Mooney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
74. I want to see if he can reach single digits.
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rove karl rove Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
75. and time will tell, about 24 hours
I think the nmargin will be much closer, meaning Hillary by 25 percentage or so.
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 10:57 PM
Response to Original message
78. 150,000 voter turnout tomorrow
my prediction
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:00 PM
Response to Reply #78
80. In 2004 it was a good deal more than that with no competition.
I think it will be closer to 450,000.
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:01 PM
Response to Reply #80
81. I think it'll be far less. It's my gut telling me this.
My gut predicted a 12 digit win for Hillary in PA.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #81
82. Whoops. I meant to predict 350,000. I was confusing it with Kentucky for a second.
I need more sleep.
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stratomagi Donating Member (811 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-12-08 11:25 PM
Response to Original message
85. Clinton 61% Obama 39%
Count on voters thinking she's already lost to keep them home.
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