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BREAKING: Latest Zogby tracking poll out-Obama up by 9 in NC and 1 in Indiana

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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:33 PM
Original message
BREAKING: Latest Zogby tracking poll out-Obama up by 9 in NC and 1 in Indiana
Not sure if there will be a link yet at Zogby.com but here it is:

http://www.zogby.com

In North Carolina, Obama leads in all age groups with one exception - those age 70 and older, where the two are essentially tied. But Clinton closed the gap in some age groups, compared to yesterday's two-day tracking report.


Democrats - North Carolina
5-1/2
4-30/5-1

Clinton
37%
34%

Obama
46%
50%

Someone else
8%
8%

Not sure
9%
8%

Clinton expanded her lead among white voters in North Carolina, and narrowed the gap among African American voters, where Obama leads by a 73% to 10% margin. Among men, Obama leads 50% to 35% - an improvement for Clinton - and he continues to lead among women voters as well - winning 43% support to Clinton's 39% backing, largely on the strength of support for Obama from African American women.

In Indiana, the two Democrats were statistically deadlocked, with Obama at 43% and Clinton at 42%, with 15% either favoring someone else or yet undecided.


Democrats - Indiana
5-1/2
4-30/5-1

Clinton
42%
42%

Obama
43%
42%

Someone else
7%
7%

Not sure
8%
9%


Clinton holds an edge among Catholic and Protestant voters, and among older voters, as she has in other states that have voted earlier this year. Obama leads among younger voters and among a key middle-age demographic - those age 35 to 54. This was a group that went for Clinton in the recent Pennsylvania primary, helping to propel her to the 10-point win she enjoyed there.

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beachmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hasn't Zogby been pretty much dead wrong for most of the states? nt
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Dead on in PA
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:11 AM
Response to Reply #6
11. He figured out how to weight the AA vote
But it's still a bunch of crap.

And look for the Limbaugh Effect to hit Indiana heavy in Clinton's favor. It's unpollable.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. Interesting. That's a big swing in NC
And yet he's gained a little ground in Indiana. Strange.
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. it's a daily tracking poll
you'll probably see some swings like that between now and Tuesday. take from it what you will.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:41 PM
Response to Original message
3. You really are a pschitzophrenic poster lol
Isn't this the second time you posted this?

I just hope Zogby can get this one right lol
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:41 PM
Response to Original message
4. Only 9? LOL
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. In PA, you called 9.2 a "blowout"......
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:12 AM
Response to Reply #7
13. Ha!
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. You have to adjust Zogby polls....
it's -5% for Obama to any results... because Zogby sucks... so Obama will win by 4 in NC and Hillary will win by 6 in Indiana.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-02-08 11:44 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. No.... Zogby got PA exactly right.
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
22. Did they??? I though they had Obama doing better. hmm ok. nt
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malik flavors Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:09 AM
Response to Original message
10. Interesting. I would be suprised if Indiana were actually this close.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. Zogby
I still think he can win NC by 10.If monday It Is still 1 lead for him In Indiana then he could have
a narrow victory there.He was dead wrong on California but as I always point out SurveyUSA was
also dead wrong on Missouri.Zogby was pretty much on the money In Iowa,Nevada,Missouri,Texas,and
Sc,and PA.
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Vote2008 Donating Member (599 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:11 AM
Response to Original message
12. Remember, anything above zero is a double digit win for Hillary!
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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:12 AM
Response to Original message
14. So condsidering how off Zogby has been we can consider IN +10
for Hillary and NC too close to call
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Avalon6 Donating Member (206 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. Ummm, Zogby got Penn exactly right, stop assuming Zogby isn't accurate because of California
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:16 AM
Response to Reply #16
18. And New Hampshire. And New Jersey.
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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. Exactly, TX was also whacked... Their results were all OVER the place
They FINALLY got it correct the day before the election.

For some reason, they seem to overpoll Obama support.
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Avalon6 Donating Member (206 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 12:13 AM
Response to Original message
15. Early Voting in NC is going to kill her
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 01:16 AM
Response to Reply #15
20. Why?
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Secret_Society Donating Member (466 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #15
21. That has been said in many states and it hasn't
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jazzjunkysue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-03-08 06:30 PM
Response to Original message
23. Remember: HRC needs 65% of delegates just to break even.
So, don't get too caught up in "winning." Anything less than a landslide for HRC is the end of her campaign.

This is Obama's, and he knows it.
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