Official IN/NC prediction thread: Post your OFFICIAL prediction here.

[Colobo]

I'll do my best to keep this thread up so that we can see who nailed it and who didn't. Let me start:

Indiana: Clinton 54%, Obama 46%
North Carolina: Obama 56%, Clinton 44%

What do you think?

[my3boyz]

1. I have no idea! I just want him to win NC. nt

[Colobo]

He will win there.

[Faygo Kid]

8. Maybe twice.

[Colobo]

4. He will win there.

[Faygo Kid]

9. Maybe twice.

[scheming daemons]

2. NC: 58-41 for Obama... IN: 51-48 for Clinton.....

[Hawkeye-X]

3. I'll be over-optimistic and say...

Indiana: Obama 54%, Clinton 46%
NC: Obama 66%, Clinton 34%

hawkeye-X

[RBInMaine]

6. Nope. NC Obama by 5 to 10. IN Hillary by 5-10.

[livingmadness]

11. I like your style!! N/T

[Faygo Kid]

5. OK, I just had this Notarized. Wasn't easy on a Friday night.

Indiana, Barack 51-49.

North Carolina, Barack 57-43.

Game. Set. Match.

And official.

[Colobo]

12. Cool pic!

[grantcart]

57. Indiana could be higher

unlike PA its an open primary, younger electorate and close to IL they know him better

[smalll]

7. Indiana to Clinton, NC to Obama, UNLESS Wright blasts back over the weekend -

in that case, Hillary takes both.

[scheming daemons]

13. You're going to keep hoping against hope, aren't ya?

How pathetic is that?

You don't think your candidate can win on her own merits... you're hoping for the other team to fumble.



You need to have a long talk with your psychiatrist.

[smalll]

18. No, she's campaigning quite well. But, "look" -- Obamatronic "math" doesn't mean that it's over yet

but it DOES mean Hillary needs to catch some breaks to pull off the nomination. Wright hitting back at Barack before Tuesday? Quite possible. (Allegedly, he has an appearance or two scheduled for this weekend in Pittsburgh.)

If not though, Tuesday's a split decision, so on to Kentucky, on to West Virginia, on to Puerto Rico!

[scheming daemons]

20. smalll: "PLEASE, Rev Wright... SPEAK AGAIN... PRETTY PLEASE?" Pathetic.....

[rocktivity]

30. You'll hear nothing from Wright until after Tuesday--if at all

He accomplished his mission--taking himself out of the mix without alienating the AA/clergy voters. Anyone who tries to use him as a weapon against Obama now is beating a dead horse.


rocknation

[dbmk]

10. I'll play

IN: Clinton 54,5 - Obama 45,5
NC: Obama 57,5 - Clinton 42,5

[Staceyclinton]

19. Hillary will win

[dbmk]

48. Can you expand on that?

[Coexist]

14. Okay

NC - Obama +10
IN - Clinton +2

[rwheeler31]

15. Indiana: Clinton 52% Obama 48%

NC " 42% " 58%

[demwing]

16. Big Two, Plus Little Guam (no offense)

NORTH CAROLINA - Solid win for Obama, with 1% for John Edwards
Obama 54%
Clinton 45%
Other 1%

INDIANA - Obama in a nail biting squeeker with DU up all night following the returns
Obama 50.5%
Clinton 49.5%

GUAM - Blow out because of Obama's Pacific Islander roots, & his local staff at Guam HQ
Obama 68%
Clinton 32%

[RBInMaine]

17. What makes you think he'll win so big in Guam? Do you know something?

[demwing]

22. His Office in Guam

Which I understand is a first for a presidential candidate, and his BLOWOUT in Hawaii (70+% there)

[RBInMaine]

26. He was a "hometown boy" in Hawaii. Some are saying Hillary is looking GOOD there.

[kmsarvis]

33. I heard she grew up in Guam.

[Colobo]

36. She grew up in Puerto Rico too. She's known as "Hilaria Clinton-Rodríguez" down there.

:)

[demwing]

38. Isn't That Hillary Rodríguez-Clinton?

Everyone knows that Grandpa Rodham was an immigrant, changed his name back in '03.

[demwing]

40. And her Grandpa used to take her behind the hut

taught her how to harpoon octupus. Catch shrimp with her bare hands, and grind Taro with her knuckles. Thats good eating.

[SoxFan]

43. Those summers at the farm in Agana...

[TexasLady]

39. I like yours best, after perusing the thread.

Although I don't give Obama, whom I love, quite the takeover of Guam that is suggested. I think it'll be more even.

[demwing]

41. Well thank you TexasLady!

And yeah, I'm goofy for Guam. I'm counting on record turnout, because Obama is the first presidential candidate to show them some respect.

[dbmk]

50. Which of course will not make him viable

So the %age in NC will be about 54,5 - 45,5.

[hillsidestrangler]

21. ;-)

IND: Clinton 52.7 - Obama 47.3

NC: Obama 66.666666... - Clinton 33.333333...


Hey, we can all have hope right?

[Tatiana]

23. I like your NC prediction. Indiana will be closer.

Can't hazard a prediction, as I have been canvassing the area, and it seems dead even to me.

[nevergiveup]

24. Watch for an Obama surge this week-end

especially in Indiana. Obama by 12 in N.C. and by 3 in Indiana. Indiana will rewards its neighbor's favorite son. It happened in Missouri, Iowa and Wisconsin and it will happen again in Indiana. Hillary will throw in the towel on Wednesday or Thursday. Obama will defeat McCain 53% to 46% in November. Was this more than you wanted?

[Colobo]

25. Hopefully you are right!

[RBInMaine]

27. Tough with all the corporate media Wright B.S. I think Hillary wins by 5-10 but hope I'm wrong.

[last_texas_dem]

28. I'm not even gonna try, but will give this thread a kick 'cause I find these interesting

The polls have been too all over the place and I have no idea which one(s), if any, to believe.
,

[madrchsod]

29. indiana-+4 hillary

north carolina-+8 obama

[usregimechange]

31. Obama +9% in NC, Clinton +4% in IN

mark my word

[kmsarvis]

32. split........

North Carolina

OBAMA - 57 CLINTON - 43


INDIANA


CLINTON - 51 OBAMA - 49

[tekisui]

34. Okay, mark this: NC-Obama by 15. IN-Obama by 3.

Late night, big party!

[rocktivity]

35. Hillary needs at least 68% of the vote in both contests just to keep running in place

Obama needs 40% of the vote to prevent it.

:headbang:
rocknation

[FlyingSquirrel]

37. Obama will not clinch nomination...

MSM will ask why he can't close the deal.

[4_Legs_Good]

42. NC - O 58 v C 42 - IN O 48 v C 52

I'm sitll holding out for better, but them's my guesses.

DAvid

[mckeown1128]

44. I'm pessimistic...

Indiana Clinton 56% Obama 44%
North Carolina Obama 52.5 Clinton 47.5


It is going to be ugly for the rest of the primary.... but Obama will still be the nominee... because she can't catch up. She is just trying to sink him as part of her 2012 primary strategy.

[Hoof Hearted]

45. IN: Clinton 57% Obama 43% NC: Clinton 48% Obama 50%

[scheming daemons]

46. I can't make a real prediction until I know what percentage of voting machines are diebold

that don't have a paper trail.


Hillary does 3-5% better than the exit polls in districts with electronic black-box voting.


This is not something Hillary is doing... however, the Republican-leaning Diebold corporation is doing the GOP's bidding - which is to prolong things by keeping Hillary's candidacy alive.


If there were paper-only ballots in both states:

Indiana: Obama 52, Clinton 48
NC: Obama 61, Clinton 39

If Diebold:

Indiana: Clinton 51, Obama 48
NC: Obama 55, Clinton 45

[Robbins]

47. My Prediciton

Remember I always maintained Hillary would win PA.

Obama wins NC by at least 10 points.It could be higher.

Obama wins Guam

Indiana Is going to be close.Whoever wins It will be by a 4,or 5 point margain.Hillary may very will win.However Obama could win.I am not willing to call this.

[datopbanana]

49. IN: HRC +6..............NC: BO +12

[Colobo]

51. Keeping it alive!

[Colobo]

52. Kick!

[Secret_Society]

53. Indiana Clinton 53% Obama 47%...NC Obama 54% 46%

[GetTheRightVote]

54. I say he will win both states especially after his latest speech, just beautiful

[Skip Intro]

55. IN: C 56% O 44%. NC: C 51% O 49%.

[Bullet1987]

56. Obama by 10-15 in NC...Clinton by 3-7 in Indiana

[Colobo]

58. Kick!

[oviedodem]

59. Indiana: Clinton 53%, Obama 47%..... NC Clinton 51%, Obama 49%

[Colobo]

60. That's... bold!

[Labors of Hercules]

64. No, that's... delusional. nt/

[phrigndumass]

61. Indiana will go the way of Guam

Seven votes in Obama's favor!

NC Obie Wan by 10.

:headbang:

[Colobo]

62. Kick!

[Colobo]

63. Kick!

[peoli]

65. NC Obama 57-43. Indiana Obama 50-49.

[PM7nj]

66. Obama +8 in NC, Clinton +3 in Indiana

[Labors of Hercules]

67. NC = O 54% C 43% IN = O 46% C46%

Yep. I think IN will be within a 1 pt. difference... perhaps a slight lead for Clinton, but not enough to call it a win.

[demwing]

68. Time To Resurrect This Thread!

And remind everyone of their predictions :)

[Buzz Clik]

69. ok...

NC -- Obama 54.5; Clinton 45.5

IN -- Clinton 53.5; Obama 46.5

Obama nets 5 delegates.

[DangerousRhythm]

70. Hm. IN: Hillary 63%, Obama 37%, NC: Hillary 48%, Obama 52%

Not particularly optimistic for an Obama supporter, I know, but I tend to lower my expectations a bit because hey... a bigger victory would be all the sweeter. :)

[nyccitizen]

71. Prediction: NC by 11 for Obama, IN by 7 for Clinton...

Net delegates for the day goes to Obama...

[Hepburn]

72. Obama by 15+ in NC and Obama by barely 2 in IN.

[Zynx]

73. Clinton by 9-10 in Indiana. Obama by 8-9 in NC.

The Indiana guess is based on the fact that a good portion of the state is simply an extension of rural Ohio.

[ecstatic]

74. Obama wins NC by 13, Indiana by 4 nt

[Khaotic]

75. It's become too skewed ...

But I think Clinton will somehow win both.

Then she'll go nuclear.

I'm sick.

Before the end of the week Obama will be asked to step down.

He will not be asked to run w/ Clinton or he will turn her down.

Look for a Clinton/Clark ticket.

I will be voting for McKinney.

Otherwise I'll be voting a straight Democratic ticket in November.