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The endgame.

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Redbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-25-08 04:57 PM
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The endgame.
Scenario 1

Without any Florida and Michigan delegates, and if the two senators split the remaining primary/caucus delegates the nomineee will be decided by the currently uncommitted superdelegates (304) and those currently committed to John Edwards (18).

Of those 322 votes, Sen. Obama would need 95 to reach 2024 and Sen. Clinton would need 238.

If either candidate wins more than half of the remaining primary/caucus delegates, that candidates winning number would be reduced by how many more than half they received and the other candiates winning number would go up.

Scenario 2

If Florida and Michigan are seated, the new winning number would be 2208. The nominee would then be decided by the 339 currently uncommitted superdelegates, the 31 Edwards delgates, and the 55 uncommitted Michigan delegates.

Of those 425 votes, Sen. Obama would need 207 to reach 2208 and Sen. Clinton would need 219.

If either candidate wins more than half of the remaining primary/caucus delegates, that candidates winning number would be reduced by how many more than half they received and the other candidates winning number would go up.



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