Pennsylvania Win Makes Clinton Win Less Likely

[PresidentObama]

A Political Wire reader runs the math and notes that before the Pennsylvania, Sen. Hillary Clinton needed to get at least 63% of the vote in the remaining states to have a chance to win more delegates than Sen. Barack Obama.

Clinton now needs 296 of the remaining 435 delegates up for grabs (or approximately 68% of the vote.) In contrast, Obama needs 140 of the remaining 435 to have the majority (or about 32% of the vote.)

Therefore, despite her win in the Keystone State, the results have in fact made it less likely Clinton can win.

Considering that most polls predict Obama should win North Carolina by a healthy margin and both campaigns think Indiana will be close, the chances of a Clinton victory are actually lower than ever.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/politicalinsider/2008/04/pennsylvania-win-makes-clinton.html

As Charlie Cook said: "The good news for Hillary Rodham Clinton is that she's winning a lot of battles. The bad news is that the war is pretty much lost."

[PresidentObama]

1. I think if she loses Indiana or North Carolina, which she might lose both, she'll face the music.

And the fat lady will be singing.

[texas_indy]

2. She is in all the way to the convention. She could lose every delegate in every state from here on

and she will stay in till the convention. This is her best shot to be president and she will not drop out.

She will have to be voted out at the convention.

At least that is IMHO.

[PresidentObama]

3. Depends if you believe the "I'm into the convention" rhetoric. Edwards said the same thing.

I believed him.

Fool me once...

[texas_indy]

4. Hillary and Edwards aren't the same here. He was far back in 3rd place. She isn't. And, IMO

she wants it far more than Edwards did. She is going after what she believes is "hers, and was already hers to take" before this upstart came along and stole it.


She will be at the convention fighting for the nomination. Obama could have already reached 2025 and she will STILL be there fighting to take it from him.

She is in the fight to WIN, at all costs.

[PresidentObama]

5. Nope she's not in 3rd place. She's worse, she has no chance.

I don't buy this notion that she'll be into the convention.

Sorry, but she's smarter than that.

If she really wanted to be President, she'd either wait until June and all the people voted and ride Obama's bandwagon as VP for eight years or hope and pray he loses so she can run in 2012.

Hillary isn't evil. Despite what you may believe. Power hunger, yes. But not stupid.