Rasmussen Daily Tracking: Obama Leads McCain 47% to 45%, Leads Clinton 49% to 42%

[flpoljunkie]

Thursday, April 24, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama edging ahead of John McCain, 47% to 45%. While that lead is not statistically significant, it is only the second time in the past six weeks that Obama has held any advantage over McCain. Notably, 74% of Democrats say they will support Obama. That’s a five-point improvement for the Illinois Senator compared to last week’s polling. Obama has also gained ground among the unaffiliated. It remains to be seen whether this is a lasting change or merely statistical noise.

McCain continues to enjoy a two-point advantage over Hillary Clinton, 47% to 45%. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time (see recent daily general election results). New state polling from Minnesota provides good news for Democrats while the latest Nevada results are encouraging for the GOP. Minnesota moves from “Leans Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Democrats now lead in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results).

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination little has changed--Obama earns support from 49% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters while Clinton attracts 42% (see recent daily Democratic Nomination results). Both candidates have stable and solid blocks of support from key constituencies in the Democratic Party. These results are based upon a four-day rolling average and include just one night of polling following the Pennsylvania’s Primary. Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama an 80.8 % chance of winning the Democratic nomination..

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 45%. Obama’s ratings are 51% favorable and 47% unfavorable. Those ratings are the weakest for McCain since mid-February and the best for Obama in two weeks. For Clinton, the reviews are 44% favorable, 54% unfavorable (see recent daily favorable ratings). The only bad news for Obama in today’s results is that McCain outperforms the Republican brand on a number of key issues. In fact, he is trusted more than Obama when it comes to the economy, national security and Iraq.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[scheming daemons]

1. But..but...but... some malleable minds say he's not "electable"!!!

[DemVet]

2. That' nice, but....

Ras has been one of the most unreliable polls recently. Keep trying.

[Connie_Corleone]

3. WHAT ABOUT PENNSYLVANIA!!!!!!!!!!! BUT, BUT, HE DIDN'T WIN!!

I guess it doesn't matter that much.

Sorry, Hillary.

[UALRBSofL]

4. People who follows polls closely need statistics classes to know these polls are unreliable

When you factor mean, the p,q,r,s,t and all the other stuff that goes in it, then these polls should tell you they are unreliable. Don't ask me what that means because I don't know. I'm just going by what my partner says. He's the statistician of the family. :)

[jefferson_dem]

5. Obama's fave-unfave is trending nicely also. Now at +4.

McCain is +6. Hillary is ... -10.

[Neshanic]

6. Lets have the election today. Hi President Obama!

[Robbins]

8. GE

Gallup has Obama tied with Mccain,and RAS has him narrowly ahead of Mccain.Hillary Is losing to Mccain by both.If this was Hillary ahead this would be thrown In our faces here to show Obama Is
unelectable.

[scheming daemons]

10. Bingo.

[Hope And Change]

7. K & R!

:kick:

[RBInMaine]

9. So much for great Hillary PA bounce.