The RCP avg has Clinton below 40%

[gabeana]

RCP Average for Democratic National Nomination
Candidate Average
Obama 50.1%

Clinton 39.7%

Spread: Obama +10.4%

[Diamond Dog]

1. Up.

[DerekJ]

2. It's Skewed by the Newsweek outlier.

Since Sig. Lines aren’t working now: I support Obama.

[gabeana]

3. If you look at the polls they use

in all but 2 is Obama's gap less than 10

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama Clinton Spread
RCP Average 04/07 - 04/21 - 50.1 39.7 Obama +10.4
Gallup Tracking 04/19 - 04/21 1259 V 50 40 Obama +10.0
Rasmussen Tracking 04/18 - 04/21 900 LV 49 41 Obama +8.0
USA Today/Gallup 04/18 - 04/20 552 A 50 40 Obama +10.0
Newsweek 04/16 - 04/17 588 RV 54 35 Obama +19.0
ABC/Wash Post 04/10 - 04/13 643 A 51 41 Obama +10.0
Reuters/Zogby 04/10 - 04/13 532 LV 51 38 Obama +13.0
AP-Ipsos 04/07 - 04/09 489 LV 46 43 Obama +3.0

[DerekJ]

4. I understand that :) Still she is not under 40 if you don't take Newsweek into consideration.

[gabeana]

5. ok but take out the two outliers

newsweek ans Ap Iso
and Obama has a substantial lead

[jordi_fanclub]

6. Without the two outliers (Newsweek and AP-Ipsos) the result is almost the same!

(50+49+50+51+51)/5 = 50.2
(40+41+40+41+38)/5 = 40.0

Obama lead = +10.2