62% Expect Obama to Win Democratic Nomination

[Life Long Dem]

62% Expect Obama to Win Democratic Nomination

rasmussenreports.com Fri Apr 11, 10:02 AM ET

Sixty-two percent (62%) of all voters now believe that Barack Obama will win the Democratic Presidential nomination. That's up from 54% in late March. Just 23% now believe Hillary Clinton will be the nominee, down from 24% in March.

Among Democrats 63% expect Obama to win (up from 52%) while 26% say it will be Clinton (down from 28%). Rasmussen Markets currently suggests that Obama has an 83.8 % chance of winning the nomination.

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Democratic voters nationwide now say that Clinton should drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. That's up from 22% in the previous survey. A majority of African-American voters (54%) believe that Clinton should withdraw from the competition.

Twenty-six percent (26%) now say that Obama should drop out of the race (up from 22%).

Ten percent (10%) want both candidates to drop out (up from 6%).

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Democrats aren't ready for either candidate to leave the race. That's down from 62% in late March. On several occasions, Clinton cited the 62% figure at campaign events and television interviews to counter suggestions that she should withdraw from the race. Nationally, Obama has recently held a very modest lead over Clinton in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Obama supporters think Clinton should drop out (up from 47%). Only 19% of Obama supporters think Clinton should remain in the race.

By a 49% to 41% margin, Clinton supporters say that Obama should drop out. In late March, just 38% of Clinton supporters thought it was time for Obama to withdraw.

Clinton leads Obama in Pennsylvania while Obama leads Clinton in North Carolina.

Among unaffiliated voters, 34% say Clinton should drop out while 26% say the same about Obama.

The national telephone survey also found that 85% of all Democrats and 86% of all voters believe it is at least somewhat likely the Democratic nomination will remain unresolved until the Democratic convention in August. Forty-eight percent (48%) of all Democrats believe that a decision at the convention is Very Likely.

Fifty percent (50%) of all voters say that Barack Obama would be the stronger general election candidate against John McCain. Twenty-nine percent (29%) say Clinton would provide the bigger challenge and 21% are not sure. Among Democratic voters, 48% say Obama would be the stronger candidate while 38% say Clinton. Both Democrats currently are competitive with John McCain nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

This telephone survey of 800 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on April 9-10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/rasmussen/20080411/pl_rasmussen/obamaexpected20080411;_ylt=Ar591b4OxlVnYYez8Pv1ljJh24cA

[Saturday]

1. And what percentage wanted us in Iraq? They were wrong too. nt

[Bensthename]

2. Wow that must include some Hillary supporters.. Or does it ????

[Yael]

3. Thats a pretty good sized jump