Poll: Kerry Takes Lead in New Hampshire. Kerry 47, Bush 45

[mobuto]

New Hampshire Still Close

Kerry 47% Bush 45%

New Hampshire 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 45%
Kerry 47%
Other 4%
Not Sure 4%
RasmussenReports.com

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April 23, 2004--Four years ago, George W. Bush won New Hampshire's four Electoral Votes by a single percentage point (48% to 47%). In Election 2004, it may be that close again.
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll finds Senator John F. Kerry with 47% of the New Hampshire vote to 45% for President George W. Bush. That 2-point difference is well within the survey's 4.5 percentage point margin of sampling error.

[West Coast Democrat]

1. I think Kerry has an excellent chance of winning NH

even if Nader is on the ballot

[sandnsea]

2. OOOOH BABY!!!

Yeah!! That is GREAT news!

[mobuto]

3. A few points here

and a few points there, and pretty soon you're talking landslide.

[mobuto]

4. Bump

Come on, we're winning in New Hampshire. Jump for joy or something.

[Nicholas_J]

5. Kerry was very far ahead

Right aftrer the media attention he was getting for doing so well in the nomination process, and then when the boost from this dropped, Bush got ahead in N.H. in the polls, but now Kerry is starting to come out more in public again and the polls are reversing. I think we are going to see a considerable number of reversals with Bush leading for a while as the media pay attention to him on certain issues, and then Kerry coming ahead at other times.

I was fairly sure that the polls would reverse as a result ot the 9/11 hearing and other questions about Iraq, but it seems that the polls do not respond quickly to events, so far, it seems to take about a month for any negative disclosure to percolate through public opinion and then effect polling behavior.

It is nice to see California coming in as a solid Blue State now rather than a lening towards Kerry state. They base this on a candidate remaining more than ten point ahead in the majority of polls for a state for more than 3 months and Kerry just had one the largest win over Bush in polls in that state so far, in the Latest LA Times Poll. Kerry 53 percent, Bush 41 percent. He has been in double digits. He has had double digit leads over Bush in California since he won the Iowa Caucus.

[Kathleen04]

6. Woo hoo!

New Hampshire is comin' back around! :)

[fujiyama]

7. Good to know

that Kerry is doing well in most of his neighboring states.

Looks like the one to watch now from the region is PA, a state Bush is pouring millions into.