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Putting many smaller states in play for the GE is better than just a couple big ones

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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:11 PM
Original message
Putting many smaller states in play for the GE is better than just a couple big ones

There is much talk of how Obama would put many red but smaller states in play, while Clinton could do better in some bigger battlegrounds, notably FL (although many claim that Hillary would do better than Obama in OH and PA, this remains to be seen). But this is an issue of putting all eggs in one basket or in many baskets. Assuming that Hillary could take FL from the repugs but could take no new small states from them, the election will hinge on just one state and that's very dangerous (and especially dangerous if that state is FL or OH, as the last elections attest). But if your strategy is being competitive in many smaller red states (and if you believe the polls, Obama is surprisingly strong in many of them), then you have a lot more winning combinations, and you can even afford to lose a purple state or two.

So all this talk about the importance of winning the big states I think is wrong, and it is in fact exactly the other way around.

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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. There's no correlation between winning primary and GE states.
it's another false argument from the Clintons. No surprise there.
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thunder rising Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:17 PM
Response to Original message
2. The Dems lost the government on Clintons (DLC) 50%+1 campaign with no coat tails
You have to campaign in every state or else your down ticket candidates take a beating.

And Obama has coat tails and ALL the superdelegates know it.
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jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. So 21 electoral votes from MT, DE, SD, AK, ND, VT, WY are more important than Florida with its 27
electoral votes and Michigan with its 17 votes.
:rofl:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_population

Have FAITH and chant “HOPE, CHANGE, . .. HOPE, CHANGE”, you will be invested with supernatural powers that will allow you to defeat all the demons in your fantasy.
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Pab Sungenis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 07:48 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. We will never win Florida
No matter what the Survey USA Hillary map shows. The Republican machine down there, both figuratively and literally, will never allow Florida to go blue again.

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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 07:48 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. They's basically what they've been parroting here.
It's amazing.
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-06-08 09:41 PM
Response to Original message
4. Strange logic you got there.
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Pab Sungenis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 07:46 AM
Response to Original message
5. That's how the Republicans keep winning
Tons of small states, each with a small number of electoral votes.
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La Lioness Priyanka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Mar-07-08 07:50 AM
Response to Original message
8. you understadn that winning primary states has nothing to do with winning the GE
for instance mccain won in newyork, do you think new york is going to go RED for the general election?

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