Can we set the chin bar in advance of Tuesday?

[Raven]

What will it take for Obama supporters to concede defeat and for Hillary supporters to concede defeat? Do people here have an idea of what kind of a win they are looking for for their candidate or what kind of a loss for the other candidate? What will have to happen on Tuesday to make you think that your candidate is still alive and should keep going?

[fenriswolf]

1. I think Obama should concede

if hillary passes him in delegate count. I think hillary should concede if she doesnt pass him in delegate count.

[NC_Nurse]

2. Sounds fair to me.

[adoraz]

3. Obama supporters- 40 plus point loses in Texas and Ohio

Really, that is the only way Obama may be defeated.

Even then though, I don't think Hillary would be ahead in pledged delegates...

[dchill]

4. The setting of the bar...

or the location of the goal posts is, as always, the domain of the Clinton campaign. And don't you forget it! We'll all just have to wait until Tuesday night.

[adoraz]

5. oh, and if you mean defeated for the DAY alone...

I think if Hillary wins Ohio and Texas (and RI), she can claim it as a win, but I really think she needs decent margins in both to keep going on.

Obama just needs to win Vermont, keep RI and Ohio close, and squeak out a victory in Texas. Then I think he would win because he wouldn't have lost.

[EmperorHasNoClothes]

6. Clinton needs to win by 71% to even up the pledged delegates

370 delegates in play on Tuesday, and she's currently behind by 153.

That said, I think of Hillary doesn't win both Texas and Ohio by at least 15%, she's mathematically finished. If the delegate count only changes by 10 or 15 in Hillary's favor, the percentages by which she has to win the remaining races make it a statistical impossibility.