I think Obama will win Missouri based on extrapolated results from st louis

[usregimechange]

He will gain about 70,000 votes in st louis city, which will cover the current spread. KC and st. louis co will keep it even until then.

[skooooo]

1. it's the big cities, definitely.....

(hope you're right!)

[TheDebbieDee]

2. Current Missouri Primary results link.......

BELOW

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=203

[MADem]

7. If that holds, that's a strong win.

Clinton, Hillary DEM 188,262 57.3%
Obama, Barack DEM 127,548 38.8%

[godai]

3. down 47,000 now. Hope you're right! n/t

[godai]

35. Lead is down to 27,000, 79% reporting n/t

[slick8790]

4. We can hope. I was wondering why they didn't call it for Clinton yet.

That's a big spread.

[book_worm]

5. We'll see, most polls showed HRC ahead in MO so if he keeps close

it will be good.

[TheDebbieDee]

6. Results at 9.18PM with Precincts 1595 of 3371 Reporting...

Clinton, Hillary DEM 184,773 57.2%
Obama, Barack DEM 125,585 38.9%
Edwards, John DEM 9,694 3.0%

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

8. St Louis is about 1/3 the population of the state, Half reported he is down by 14 percent.

She has a slight cushion especially if the trend hold on the edges of the City.

[usregimechange]

9. It will be close

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

10. I think it is going to her, very close though.

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

11. Down to 10 percent his districts are rolling in.

[usregimechange]

15. yep and there is plenty more to come in

[RiverStone]

12. Hope, hope, hope, your right!!!!

Yes we can in MO!!!

[usregimechange]

13. 25% of st louis city just came in and the state wide race narrowed 5%!!!

[angie_love]

16. for real?>

[usregimechange]

14. I am not kidding!!!

[usregimechange]

17. just closed to 9%, can't see co number because cnn down

[usregimechange]

19. 28% of st louis city in, 41% of st louis co in, 44% of Jackson co (KC) in

[usregimechange]

20. that is enough, I believe and I live in MO by the way

[Tatiana]

18. I'm not sure he will win enough in stl to pull it out.

But it sure is a close one!

[usregimechange]

21. trust me, there is enough there, 28% of precinct in st louis but there is a LOT more people there

in larger precincts.

[Tatiana]

22. Alright... I'm gonna hold you to that! n/t

[usregimechange]

23. Boone co out as well, should go Obama and has good number of people

[usregimechange]

24. Ok, 70,000 was a bit much but there has got to be more people who voted in STLC

[RayOfHope]

25. It looks like they're not even halfway thru counting in StL

and Obama is leading by a HUGE amount

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

28. It is looking like she is holdind the lead. 69% up by 9.

[LSdemocrat]

26. It's going to be a long night. McCaskill/Talent 2006 wasn't called until after 1AM CST

[MadBadger]

27. ST. Louis County is only 45 percent reporting. Obama leads 56-42 percent

[RiverStone]

link?

Good news I hope...


GoBama!

[RayOfHope]

33. Go here

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/allresults.asp?eid=203&arc=

The upper right corner has links, click 'county', and it will take you to a list where you can choose StL city and StL county

[harun]

29. A bunch of pundits said no way so he probably will win it

considering the pundits have been wrong about almost every state so far.

[moosen]

30. call it for hillary!

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

31. Its looking very much like she took it.

[usregimechange]

32. Hey, I know what I am talking about.

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

34. If you drew a graph since 49% it would work out to a draw,

However areas that are not Obamas are still reporting too. She gets a hold or a bump every once in awhlie.

[usregimechange]

36. Jackson Co didn't go to Obama like I thought...

[HughMoran]

37. It's getting closer - 5% lead for Clinton @ 79% in

a close one here...

[usregimechange]

38. Jasper co is out still, Clinton land with a chunk of votes

[Recursion]

39. Closed it to 5% now

This one's going to be a nail-biter

[usregimechange]

40. St Louis co and city still 40% to come in Jackson co will give Obama some more but Jasper will

balance it out

[godai]

42. Difference now 19,000 81% reporting n/t

[usregimechange]

43. There is enough! I am telling you

On edit, sorry I am getting excited.

[godai]

48. 22,000 87% n/t

[usregimechange]

41. I still think Obama will win

[BringBigDogBack]

44. I believe.

Make it so. :)

[usregimechange]

45. Jasper in and it didn't give Clinton near as much as I thought it would

[BringBigDogBack]

46. Come on, Missourri

[xmas74]

47. KMBC says it's now called for Hillary.

They said it's official. Will post link when it's up.

[usregimechange]

50. They are wrong, trust me

[usregimechange]

51. She may win but they are stupid to call it yet

[xmas74]

53. They said it is official.

KMBC stated earlier that they wouldn't call it until a clear majority had been counted.

The majority, according to the state site, has been counted and it's Hillary.

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=203&arc=

[usregimechange]

55. Precincts Reporting 2904 of 3371

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=203

[usregimechange]

49. 75% in from stlc, 65% from st louis county, Jackson 85% in

there is nothing left for clinton to get

[Recursion]

52. 3 points now

This is down to the wire...

[usregimechange]

54. cities still out

[godai]

56. CNN hasn't called it. Delegates will split about 50-50 n/t

[JBoy]

57. With what's left to report, it should certainly tighten up

So you may still be right. He's behind by just under 20,000 votes.

[usregimechange]

58. Trust me it will

[usregimechange]

59. 2% down now according to MO SOS, Obama will win

[angie_love]

60. How sure are you??

[usregimechange]

61. I am 100% it is not over, 75% sure that Obama will win

[Indenturedebtor]

62. He's already won

How do the delegates fall out?

And he has more money and more Obamentum :P

[lisainmilo]

64. I think MO is winner take all n/t

[Athletic Grrl]

78. Nope.

For the Dems, MO is proportional, so the delegates will be split just about evenly.

[lisainmilo]

63. I am pretty damn sure Obama will take it...VERY CLOSE!

Clinton, Hillary DEM 352,021 49.5%
Obama, Barack DEM 337,556 47.5%

St. Louis will bring it home!

[RiverStone]

65. WoW! --- GoBama ---- what a photo finish!

[usregimechange]

66. I wish I could access the co data, KC still out last I knew as well

[JBoy]

67. CNN has it right now:

Clinton 356,883
Obama 347,624

91% reporting

County results are here: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/county/#MODEM

[usregimechange]

68. Hey, can you tell how much is left in st louis, I can't access now

[godai]

69. down to 9,000 difference 91%! n/t

[JBoy]

70. Latest from St Louis

St. Louis City 83 % reporting

Obama 37,447
Clinton 15,480

St. Louis County 84% reporting

Obama 92,776
Clinton 55,556

[usregimechange]

72. There still out! There is enough there, what about Jackson co?

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

73. A few heavy Clinton leaning counties are out, The lead might hold it is CLOSE!

[usregimechange]

76. Not any that contain people, which ones though?

[JBoy]

77. *Snort*

[usregimechange]

Never heard of that county

[godai]

74. Jackson Co 95% reporting n/t

[JBoy]

75. Jackson is 95% reported

Jackson

Obama 60,978
Clinton 46,372

[godai]

71. St Louis County 84% reporting

[RayOfHope]

79. Seth, go the SOS website

from there you can click on individual counties, upper right corner

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=203&arc=

[usregimechange]

80. It hasn't been working...

[usregimechange]

82. Ok, working now, St. Louis city has the most out, good news for Obama

[lisainmilo]

81. Obama won K.C, MO

KANSAS CITY
Office Candidate Party Votes % of Votes
U.S. President And Vice President Precincts Reporting 132 of 132
Paul, Ron REP 858 6.7%
Thompson, Fred REP 70 .5%
Romney, Mitt REP 4,119 32.2%
Giuliani, Rudy REP 76 .6%
McCain, John REP 4,790 37.5%
Huckabee, Mike REP 2,755 21.5%
Wiles, Virgil L.R. REP 2 .0%
Tancredo, Thomas REP 2 .0%
Hunter, Duncan REP 7 .1%
Cort, Hugh REP 2 .0%
Keyes, Alan REP 45 .4%
Gilbert, Daniel REP 2 .0%
UNCOMMITTED REP 57 .4%

Clinton, Hillary DEM 19,907 32.9%
Obama, Barack DEM 39,902 65.9%
Edwards, John DEM 433 .7%
Spelbring, Ralph DEM 7 .0%
Kucinich, Dennis J. DEM 65 .1%
Richardson, Bill DEM 39 .1%
Biden, Joe DEM 33 .1%
Dodd, Christopher J. DEM 11 .0%
Gravel, Mike DEM 17 .0%
UNCOMMITTED DEM 135 .2%

Root, Wayne A. LIB 12 17.1%
Imperato, Daniel LIB 10 14.3%
Phillies, George LIB 6 8.6%
Jingozian, Michael P. LIB 3 4.3%
Kubby, Steve LIB 8 11.4%
Hollist, Dave LIB 3 4.3%
UNCOMMITTED LIB 28 40.0%

[usregimechange]

83. Less than 1% spread!!!

[usregimechange]

85. Look here!!!

Clinton, Hillary DEM 374,868 49.0%
Obama, Barack DEM 368,329 48.1%

[godai]

88. now 3,800 difference 96% n/t

[lisainmilo]

84. getting closer, Obama almost taking lead

Clinton, Hillary DEM 374,868 49.0%
Obama, Barack DEM 368,329 48.1%

[tishaLA]

86. dayummmmmmmmmmmm

Gobama!

[usregimechange]

87. St Louis city all in damn, will have to come from Jackson or St Louis co

[godai]

93. St. Louis City only 83% reporting n/t

[usregimechange]

94. KC and STLC all in, need it frm the counties, still possible

[lisainmilo]

100. less than 5000 vote difference with clinton in the lead, obama gaining

Clinton, Hillary DEM 377,559 48.9%
Obama, Barack DEM 372,735 48.2%

[lisainmilo]

89. OMGOSH it is so freakin close! n/t

[Coexist]

90. 6.500 votes.

damn - wasn't he supposed to lose big here?

[JBoy]

91. CNN reporting (with 96% in):

Clinton 380,680
Obama 376,887

Obama is closing in a gallop!

[Abacus]

92. 380,680 to 376,887, 96% reporting /nt

[usregimechange]

95. Here, St Louis county is almost the only one left it went

Clinton, Hillary DEM 55,556 36.7%
Obama, Barack DEM 92,776 61.3%

Precincts Reporting 449 of 534

[Tweed]

98. Obama takes the lead!

[Abacus]

103. In the time it took

to crunch the numbers to show why Obama would win based on what you gave me, he pulled ahead 3k votes.

[mrmx9]

Obama now ahead by 5,000 votes - 98% of precincts in!

[Tweed]

96. 381,090 C, 377, 189 O, 96% reporting

less than 4,000 votes. The delegate count won't change at this point.

[Recursion]

97. HUGH jump. within 4000 votes now and ca 40,000 left to count

I personally don't see calling this one yet

[godai]

99. OBAMA by 3200 97%!!

[Tatiana]

101. usregimechange, I may owe you one!

:toast:

[City Lights]

102. OMG, what a nail biter!

C'mon Obama! :bounce:

[RiverStone]

CNN has Obama in the lead now!!!

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#MO

4K votes w/97%

[usregimechange]

104. Boone county still out! How did I miss it? Jeff city! Obama land

[tabasco]

105. Y'er lookin' prophetic right about now.

Let's hope it holds up.

[usregimechange]

107. .7% spread, Boone county out too!

[elana i am]

106. damn you're good!

[stillrockin]

108. hallelujah

[JBoy]

109. Where's Boone County? It's only 27% reported

Currently showing:
Obama 5,328 61%
Clinton 3,096 36%

[creeksneakers2]

110. Looks like you were right

[usregimechange]

111. BTW, Hillary could pick up some in parts of Jackson co, depends on what is still out

But Boone co and St. Louis county should cover it x2

[usregimechange]

Boone County:

Clinton, Hillary DEM 5,787 36.3% % Yes Votes Graph
Obama, Barack DEM 9,734 61.0%

Precincts Reporting 52 of 86

[sfam]

113. You look like a frickin genius! Where's your network job?

Seriously, most awesome prediction!!

[chieftain]

112. You called it. (eom)

[BringBigDogBack]

114. Great call man.

I didnt see it.

[Recursion]

115. CBS has him up by 5000 votes now with 68 precincts left

This is un-frigging-believable

[RiverStone]

116. he's up by 5K w/98% per CNN

[usregimechange]

118. They must be getting the data before MO SOS can update on the web

[usregimechange]

117. ST LOUIS COUNTY remains out:

Clinton, Hillary DEM 55,556 36.7% % Yes Votes Graph
Obama, Barack DEM 92,776 61.3%

Precincts Reporting 449 of 534

[lisainmilo]

120. so does boone 52 of 86 reporting

Clinton, Hillary DEM 55,556 36.7%
Obama, Barack DEM 92,776 61.3%

Edit: to correct amount of precincts

[usregimechange]

121. Really depends on what is left but odds are Obama's

[godai]

119. Without a doubt, you know your Missouri politics! n/t

[usregimechange]

122. Here are the 3 counties to watch, if this link works

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/countyresults.asp?eid=203&cids=23440%2C+23509%2C+23470&cboCounties=23470&submit1.x=23&submit1.y=11

[lisainmilo]

124. here are the numbers, Obama officially takes lead

Clinton, Hillary DEM 386,683 48.2%
Obama, Barack DEM 392,441 49.0%

[usregimechange]

123. Obama is ahead and it is unlikely that this will change!

[usregimechange]

125. Data: statewide

Clinton, Hillary DEM 386,683 48.2%
Obama, Barack DEM 392,441 49.0%

[adabfree]

126. I think he takes it

[usregimechange]

128. Jackson county could contain some Hillary gains 17 precincts

[usregimechange]

130. But, to continue my obsession, 14 precincts still out in ST co, and 24 in Boone (should go Obama)

[TheDoorbellRang]

131. It was the same way with McCaskill vs. Talent in '06

I remember McCaskill being behind all night, and then St Louis results came in. As I recall she went from about 20,000 behind to 10,000 ahead late that night in just a few minutes. It was an awesome thing.

You called it, dude! :thumbsup:

[RiverStone]

127. damn good call!

You should get paid lots more than Wolf :hi:

[Tatiana]

129. Oh my God. He must have gone into the phonebooth for this one! n/t

[City Lights]

132. I gotta tell you, usregimechange,

:yourock:

You sure know your stuff! :toast:

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

133. This WAS THE BEST THREAD I was ever in here!

Very fun and it did come to a tie basically, I think he won by less then a percent!

Thanks for starting it.

Hillary 08!

[Recursion]

134. Good campaign on both sides, and a civil thread

Yay!

[Recursion]

135. CBS has called it for him

I think the other nets have gone too

[protect our future]

136. Please can I say "I told ya so"? Please, please, please?

I called Missouri for Obama yesterday in another thread here.

Whew, I almost had to eat crows.

[usregimechange]

137. Boone Co in all but one precinct there left Obama up 1% statewide

[usregimechange]

138. Still 14 precincts left in ST LOUIS COUNTY, 1 in Boone, and 1 I have no idea where

[angie_love]

139. You Fucking RULE USREGIME!!!!!!!!

[usregimechange]

140. Thank you! btw, all precincts but the 1 I can't find are in counties that went 60% or so to Obama

[RiverStone]

141. With 99% reporting ...CNN has it at:

Obama 399,553 49%
Clinton 392,813 48%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#MO

[usregimechange]

142. I am 95% sure Obama won

[Recursion]

143. NPR *still* calling MO for HRC despite the numbers

sigh

[usregimechange]

144. Boone county is all in

[usregimechange]

145. Ok, I am calling it, Obama WINS MO!