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Real Rasmussen Numbers: Clinton 47, McCain 45.

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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:25 PM
Original message
Real Rasmussen Numbers: Clinton 47, McCain 45.
Clinton 47% McCain 45%; Obama 46% McCain 41%

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds New York Senator Hillary Clinton with a two-point advantage over Arizona Senator John McCain in the race for the White House. It’s Clinton 47% McCain 45%.

Clinton leads by seven among women. McCain leads by three among men.

While the “lead” is statistically insignificant, it is a big improvement for the former First Lady. McCain has led Clinton in the three previous Rasmussen Reports election polls of this match-up. In fact, earlier in January, McCain had his biggest advantage of the season over Clinton, leading by twelve. That poll now looks more like an aberration as it was the only time in seventeen polls of this match-up that Clinton’s support has been anywhere but the mid-40 percent range.

McCain’s support, at 45% is down from the three previous surveys which each showed him with support ranging from 47% to 49%.

The current election poll also shows McCain trailing Barack Obama. As has become the norm, Obama’s advantage over McCain is slightly larger than Clinton’s. It’s Obama 46% McCain 41%. Earlier in January, McCain had held a slight lead over Obama.

flpoljunkie, there is some kind of glitch on Rasmussen;s site and they had the old poll from after NH dated for today. In fact all poll artilces have today's date for some reason.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/election_2008_mccain_vs_clinton_and_obama

Poll linked to earlier - http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/mccain_49_clinton_38_mccain_46_obama_43
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. Is Obama outside the MOE?
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Shhh. We weren't supposed to notice that, it's not in bold.
;)
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Unless the MOE is + or - 2.5%, no he is not.
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:31 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. No...unless the MoE is less than 2.5%...nt
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. MOE appears to be 4.
Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especially when the results carry a four percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling-average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, Obama and McCain are tied at 44%. Both men have been within four points of the 45% mark for six consecutive individual polls.

Using a three-poll rolling average, McCain leads Clinton by five percentage points. With the exception of the earlier January poll, however, both Clinton and McCain have been within four points of the 45% mark for seven consecutive polls.
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wyldwolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. well, now...
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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. Add 3% for Black Box Voting Machines
and HRC loses
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. Thanks. I don't buy polls, but deception stinks.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I don't think the deception was intentional.
Like I said there appears to be some glitch on Rasmussen;s site and all articles have today's date.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 01:14 PM
Response to Original message
10. kick
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