Edited Nevada Poll: Who wins next week in Nevada? (Now that Bill R. is out)

[Colobo]

Poll question: Edited Nevada Poll: Who wins next week in Nevada? (Now that Bill R. is out)

What do you think.

[TwilightGardener]

1. I have to hand it to you, Katz, you are a true credit to Obama supporters

on this board in terms of sheer class and attitude. I give you: two thumbs up! :thumbsup: :thumbsup:

[TankLV]

2. Hillary. I was undecided until the McGlurkin or whatever fiasco by obama...

He's been losing it steadily for me ever since - and I wasn't even planning on going to participate...now I am...for Hillary...

[sjdnb]

6. I'm still hoping for a miracle ... Gore jumps in or Edwards

pulls off a stunning, surprising, victory or two ... but, if it comes down to Obama/Clinton - it will be no contest - Clinton will get my vote. Obama and his supporters schmoozing with the likes of McClurkin, especially given what minorities (gender, race, sexual preference, creed, etc.) have gone through in this country, makes me sick.

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/10/29/post_159.html

[FrenchieCat]

15. Like a war is soo less important

than guilt via association. :sarcasm:

The sad part is that Obama actually understands so much more about discrimination.

But hey, don't talk to the enemy, just bomb them.

Don't talk to people with beliefs different from yours, just act like they are not there.

Don't sit at a table and discuss your differences, cause Lord knows, you might actually get them to understand how much we are all the same.

Obama is no Homophobe....and that is why you will miss the boat.

I'm sure there were many doubters of other great men who where good.

So Congrat on your choice! Go for the unoriginal thought in her head Clinton. You know, the one with the Crowds behind her that went from old to young in just 5 days....after she took a peek at what an original and authentic person does. The First woman President who has to bring her husband to the job with her in order to get the job. So Inspiring! That nepotistical entitlement!

I didn't like the lessons my daughters were forced to learn with the first administration,
and It doesn't appear that they'll get any real liberating revelation in that 2nd administration!

[skipos]

3. Sweet Jesus, I'd love to hear some logic on Edwards winning NV. He abandoned that state

for a reason. Hillary has always had good lead there. Obama *could* pull it off, but the odds probably favor Hillary.
edit: I am rooting for Obama to try and save us from Hillary vs. Bloomberg vs. Nader vs. a Repub in November.

[Colobo]

5. Good post.

[jackson_dem]

7. Obama's twenty points behind in NV and this was before his chokejob last night

And he is trouncing Edwards by a whole ten points. Edwards' chances are almost as good as Obama's there, not that either has a good chance.

[skipos]

8. So Edwards' 10-15% magically triples for the win!

:woohoo:

[jackson_dem]

10. It is as likely as Obama's 20 doubling

[skipos]

16. Care to place a wager on intrade.com?

The bid for Clinton is 42%, the bid for Obama is 57%, the bid for Edwards is .1%.
I actually think that is way to optimistic for Obama. I doubt you are capable of looking at anything objectively, since everything is a VICTORY! for Edwards, but just thought I'd tell you I DON'T think Obama will win it.

[jackson_dem]

20. It will take a gaffe by Hillary for either to have a chance in Nev

[CoffeeCat]

12. Obama is twenty points behind in NV? Seriously? (nt)

[jackson_dem]

17. In the poll average

Hillary 41, Obama 21, Edwards 12. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_democratic_caucus-236.html

[MadBadger]

22. Can you really trust ARG though? Egg on their face twice now

[jackson_dem]

24. All the polls have been consistent

But look at all the polls ever taken in Nevada. Hillary has always been strong. Here are her leads for each poll (oldest poll first going back to Dec. of last year)

25
12
15
14
25
24
22
14
40
18
18
28

25
9
27

Here are Obama's leads over Edwards

4
9
1
6
-1
0
5
4
-3
12
4
12

8
17
4

[MadBadger]

25. Where is the Mason Dixon Poll on your list?

The 2nd most recent poll that has him down 8. Also, the RCP average contains a poll from November. Thats real bad of an average.

[jackson_dem]

26. It is on there but I mistyped

It is the "9" one. Mason-Dixon has Obama down by 8 but I erred. The average is not good since we have nothing since December but it does show a consistent Hillary lead. This is an academic discussion anyway. We should have a new Nevada poll coming out soon.

[CoffeeCat]

23. I just looked at some local NVpolls...

...from NV newspapers.

I was surfing around.

The one poll I found had Hillary on top, about 8 points.

[MadBadger]

13. Have any polls that arent over a month old?

[jackson_dem]

18. Hillary may be doing even better now because she has the big mo

[LittleBlue]

11. I see more irrational hope in the Edwards campaign than Obama's

[Kucinich4America]

4. Dennis Kucinich for the win!

Hey.... in a state full of gambling, who's to say it can't happen? :evilgrin:

[CoffeeCat]

9. LOL! "The Hopemonger"!!!

Damn you Barack Obama and your uplifting campaign of possibilities!

[Colobo]

14. So Obama is the DU favorite to win in NV? Interesting.

[skipos]

19. As I posted above, Obama is favored to win on intrade.com

I am not sure why he is so high. 57% chance of winning?!?

[Colobo]

21. The union endorsements, probably...