Nevada Caucus - Jan 19 - Jon Ralston, top political pundit predicts

[LVZ]

http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/commentary/newcityvegas.com/2008/jan/06/566663976.html

http://vegaspundit.typepad.com/vegas_pundit/

http://lasvalley.com/702/viewtopic.php?id=1266

http://democrat.meetup.com/7/

Barack Obama will parlay momentum from Iowa and New Hampshire, and the Culinary Union endorsement, into a victory in the Nevada caucus. Hillary Clinton will be second and a fading John Edwards third.

Mitt Romney will win Nevada but his wounded campaign won't convince anyone it matters after his string of defeats.

Ron Paul will shock Rudy Giuliani and John McCain and take second.

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Jon Ralston hosts the news discussion program "Face to Face With Jon Ralston" on Las Vegas ONE and publishes the daily e-mail newsletter http://RalstonFlash.com His column for the Las Vegas Sun appears Sunday, Wednesday and Friday.

Ralston can be reached at [phone] or at [email protected]

[FrenchieCat]

1. Good news for the Obama campaign.....

Bad news for Clinton.

[LVZ]

2. A few Nevada (mostly) progressive political blogs

http://www.lasvegasgleaner.com/

http://mysilverstate.com/frontPage.do

http://www.valleyblogs.com/archive/sebelius/

http://www.nvtoday.com/

http://desertbeacon.blogspot.com/

http://www.rgj.com/blogs/inside-nevada-politics/

http://nyenevada.blogspot.com/

[LVZ]

3. Local pundits: NV turnout predictions (pre Iowa caucus)

http://lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/sun/2007/dec/27/566673286.html

Iowa Democratic caucus turnout exceed 220,000.

Prior to the Iowa caucuses, most Nevada political pundits were not optimistic about Nevada.


David Damore (GOP): 20-30,000


Michael Green (DEM): 30-50,000


Eric Herzik (GOP): under 100,000


Jon Ralston (IND): over 30,000

[LVZ]

4. Nevada Polls (December)