Obama: If I win NH, I win the presidency!

[KennedyGuy]

Just reported on MSNBC..from a campaign embedd..
no link yet..

[NYCGirl]

Somehow I think what he said (if anything) is a mite more complex than that.

[KennedyGuy]

7. Just reporting what they said he said...

[maddezmom]

24. "If you give me the same chance Iowa did last night, I truly believe I will be the next president of

"If you give me the same chance Iowa did last night, I truly believe I will be the next president of the United States," Obama said to an audience in Portsmouth.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/politics/primarysource/2008/01/obama_a_nh_win.html

[Orsino]

27. But maybe not much more?

A decisive victory like last night's, occurring in Iowa? Could be enough momentum for the nomination, and the general election will be a gimme.

[LiberalFighter]

55. Decisive victory? Does anyone know their math?

[Orsino]

57. If Iowa were a poll, which it isn't, this would be well outside the margin of error.

Yeah, I call it a decisive victory. Obama won, and we can't blame the voting machines or the Supreme Court.

If you simply mean that results in other states won't necessarily follow suit, I agree with you. Obama's victory was decisive--in Iowa, which doesn't decide the nomination. Clinton, for example, will win in some states, despite the pundits' labeling her third-place finish a "defeat."

[mrreowwr_kittty]

28. Yeah it went like this:

"I, Obama Bin Hussein Madrassa, will crush my opponents in New Hampshire. Which will assure my world domination. Oh yeah, and I eat gay kittens while dealing coke."

[peoli]

41. "If you give me the same chance Iowa gave me last night, I truly believe I will be president of the

thats the quote

[aquart]

1. Gosh, that's offensive.

Nice to know my vote doesn't matter.

[Capn Sunshine]

16. in many quarters around DU

that's a relief

[Forkboy]

61. *SNARF*

:spray:

[Orsino]

30. Well, it doesn't...

...but that's hardly the fault of this particular jumping to conclusions.

I believe I share your pain, though, in having it rubbed in our faces.

[harun]

2. He's right (n/t)

Even though I am for Edwards at this point.

[mikelgb]

3. he said as much last night in his speech

[rucky]

4. He may be right. n/t

[TwilightGardener]

5. I agree, if he wins NH, he'll win SC--hard to see Hillary bouncing

back after a triple, unless she pulls something dirty...

[incapsulated]

6. I'm sure that isn't true

Really, I find that hard to believe, that he would say something so stupid.

[Cameron27]

20. I'm sure it isn't either,

....but if it is, I hope he keeps right on talking like that ROFL.

[Renew Deal]

8. I'd love to hear the actual quote.

I have a feeling that's not it.

[Azathoth]

9. Yeah, OK dude, sure

I think the rest of us will wait for the official transcript.

[KennedyGuy]

12. a little touchy, eh..I'm sure they'll have the reporter on

some are awfully thin-skinned and in for a loooooong campaign if you are this easily rattled...

[Azathoth]

13. Nah, I'm used to seeing people make stuff up

I'm just accustomed to them being a little more creative :rofl:

[KennedyGuy]

15. So are you accusing me of making up what they reported?

[Azathoth]

19. Whoa...don't get rattled dude

I said I'd wait for the official transcript :)

[jefferson_dem]

32. This poster had a rough night. Give it a break.

:)

[KennedyGuy]

36. Listen Jeffdem

I have gone out of my way to be civil
I have congratulated your candidate..
A reporter on MSNBC reported this
If you want to be an ASS I will GLADLY respond in kind.

[KennedyGuy]

37. They are reporting it NOW..on MSNBC

[Eurobabe]

10. Whoa Barack, let's not go all cocky now

That is a bad thing to do and turns people off. Humility man, goes a long way.

[annie1]

35. he *is* cocky. some people will be turned off, but the masses love that shit.

[Eurobabe]

56. that's the Leo in him

:shrug:

[annie1]

58. ohhhh, no wonder i can't stand my sister. !

[Eurobabe]

62. don't forget Bill Clinton is a Leo too

and he also loves himself way too much sometimes.

[annie1]

63. ahhh. wierd. him, i like. :D.

[krabigirl]

11. Whatever, dude.

[mckeown1128]

14. They all say that....

Biden said if Iowans give him a 3rd place finish he will win the nomination. Give it a break.

[SaveElmer]

17. He's very probably correct....

A win in New Hampshire would propel him in South Carolina...he will probably still lose Nevada...and then Super Tuesday...he won't win all of those primaries...but enough to keep the momentum going...

[mckeown1128]

31. I am a supporter of Obama's but I don't think a

New Hampshire and an ulmost inevitable SC win will give him enough momentum to win much on super tues.

[truebrit71]

I think he might have a point...especially if he takes SC as well...

...Super Tuesday could see the end of the HRC candidacy and she can go back to doing her corporate master's bidding on the Senate floor...

[ccpup]

18. hear that you Super Tuesday folks!

Obama apparently thinks that the delegate-rich States of NY, NJ, PA, CA and the like will be pushed aside in favor of two relatively small States.

I hope to God he didn't say this and, furthermore, doesn't actually believe this. If so, he's in for a much bumpier ride than I thought.

One thing I can say about Hillary is she knows how fluid this process is and wouldn't start counting those proverbial chickens this early in the process. That woman has her nose to the grindstone with her eye fixed firmly on her goal as we speak!

[BenDavid]

34. amazing how the msm is giving rudy a pass for registering in

iowa but not showing up and campaigning in florida and demeaning hrc for staying in iowa and trying to win.

Listening to the msm one would say the nomination is all but assured for obama. I personally beg to differ. He won 1 state and now he has to find a way to get a majority of the delegates in the other 49. I see this not happening. Other then illinois on the 5th of feb what other of the 19 states will obama win?

I will support HRC till the last dog dies and I still say that either by feb 19 at the earliest and march 4 the latest hrc will have a majority of the delegates to become the nominee.

Ben David

[ccpup]

54. currently

Obama trails by twenty points or more in NY, NJ, PA and CA and is still struggling to catch up to her in the other States as well. The ONLY State he's ahead in -- and by a large margin -- is Illinois, his home State.

What I find interesting is that people are focusing a lot on NH and SC, but forgetting that in the middle there on the 19th is NV, a State with the fastest growing city (Las Vegas) and where Hillary leads by twenty points. Obama just (just!) opened an office there -- or maybe it was a new office in addition to one he already has -- and has, I'm sure, operatives on the ground, but hasn't made a dent in her support.

Winning Iowa doesn't end the game. And I believe Hillary's experience will pay off in the end. IF Obama said what the OP is claiming he said, it shows a stunning amount of inexperience and hubris as well as a troubling lack of political caution.

One doesn't win a marathon by sprinting the first mile, you know? It's an ephemeral lead that quickly disappears like a mirage when the more experienced, better paced runner catches up with -- and overtakes -- you.

[maddezmom]

21. here is the quote they are probably referring to

Obama: A NH win means he will win White House

PORTSMOUTH, N.H. -- Barack Obama told a New Hampshire audience here that if they make him the winner of the state's presidential primary on Tuesday he will win the White House.

"If you give me the same chance Iowa did last night, I truly believe I will be the next president of the United States," Obama said to an audience in Portsmouth.

Obama will also have campaign stops in Concord and Milford.



http://www.boston.com/news/local/politics/primarysource/2008/01/obama_a_nh_win.html

[qazplm]

25. well the first line

does not match what he actually said. what is he supposed to say he doesnt believe he will be the next president?

this is all silly.

[jefferson_dem]

22. Here's a link to some context -

PORTSMOUTH, NH.-"If you give me the same chance Iowa gave me last night," White House hopeful Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) told a crowd here, his first stop after winning the Iowa caucus, "I truly believe I will be president of the United States."

Quick thoughts on this Portsmouth event, in a vast and chilly airplane hangar housing a variety of Pan Am planes (yes the legacy airline died years ago; the name was sold to a regional airline)

*Obama was reading from notes in a ringed notebook on the podium where he stood, reflecting the new elements inserted today in his stump speech.

*A key element is his new refrain, "In four days," a line designed to show the urgency of his mission, with four days until the Jan. 8 primary.

http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/01/sweet_obama_says_if_he_wins_nh.html

[knowledgeispwr]

44. context, schmontext...

why inform people and prevent them from believing what they want to believe? If they want to believe some negative snippet about a candidate, why get in their way?

:sarcasm:

[flpoljunkie]

23. That is what everyone else is saying, and the Intrade bettors like his prospects, as well.

[killbotfactory]

26. If he wins NH his candidacy is over

:crazy:

[laureloak]

29. Well now, ain't he the cock of the walk.

[soundguy]

33. Highly unlikely.

I must get my news from a different place than you guys. Hillary was/is not going to win either of the first 2. Super Tuesday will be her day. And it will be convincing.

[KennedyGuy]

38. Watch it now..then accuse me of lying..

[Drunken Irishman]

39. Oh, MSNBC is really stretching this quote.

Obama said, and this isn't a direct quote, but better than MSNBC's, "If we win here, I truly believe I will win the presidency!"

That is no different than what any other candidate is saying. The key word here, of course, is BELIEVE.

[gasperc]

46. he set a crazy and unnecessary bar

great opening for Edwards to grab votes :)

[Drunken Irishman]

50. Not really.

I think most believe if he wins NH he'll win the presidency.

[PVnRT]

40. Yeah, let's hear the context of that

Or better yet, let's see proof that's actually what he said.

[KennedyGuy]

45. living in denial must be such bliss...

isn't there Brittany news for you to watch or something...

[Carrieyazel]

42. Not at all. Sorry Obama, it doesn't end with the primaries.

[Catherine Vincent]

43. Before I read the rest of the posts, I know that is not what he said. nt

[KennedyGuy]

47. watch MSNBC..and listen..

and HOPE thats not what he said..

[Catherine Vincent]

49. And it's probably a pundit that said it.

More CSPAN, less CNN, MSNBC etc.

[Sulawesi]

48. Ridiculous...

All of them talk that way...

[knowledgeispwr]

51. I can't believe someone recommended this!

Other posters have posted the actual quote, which really isn't different than what other candidates have been saying. If MSNBC is reporting the quote as what's in the OP, they are really stretching it.

[David Zephyr]

52. November 20th: If Obama Wins Iowa & New Hamshire, He Will Be the Nominee

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=389&topic_id=2321594

Obama is only stating the obvious. I wrote the same thing back in November:

------

"Here it is: I'm willing to put my forty years of activism and national organizing from licking envelopes for Bobby Kennedy and posting yards signs to being a voting delegate to two National Democratic Conventions from "the great state of California" all on the line and make this statement, and I don't make it lightly:

"If Senator Barack Obama from Illinois should come in first place in Iowa and then in New Hampshire, he will certainly be the nominee of our great party. And it's not an unlikely assumption anymore because something nearly cosmic is going on in those two states this time. At this moment. Obama is beginning to suck up the oxygen and just at the right time, too. There is magic in the air."


http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=389&topic_id=2321594

[BeyondGeography]

53. He's not afraid to raise the stakes...it's called spine, right Edwards folks?

[Vinca]

59. The Obama people are energized up here!

This morning, with temperatures in single digits, they turned up on my porch (and I'm buried in about 6 feet of snow in a rural area on top of an icy hill). It's the first time any presidential campaign has been here . . . ever.

[IndianaJones]

60. chances are he is right....unfortunately. nt.