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Bizarre Polling in Iowa - Just Pick a Candidate and Pick a Poll to Tout

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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 04:24 PM
Original message
Bizarre Polling in Iowa - Just Pick a Candidate and Pick a Poll to Tout
This has been posted here several times, slanting it with misleading headlines depending on which candidate one supports. I just wish people would actually GO to the links and read the data, try to see the whole picture. That's all.

http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/12/19/44842/834
Polling in Iowa is Bizzare
by Jerome Armstrong, Wed Dec 19, 2007 at 05:07:45 AM EST

Two polls come out of Iowa.

The one blogged last night here, from Insider Advantage shows Edwards (30), Clinton (26), Obama (24).

The poll done by TNS and released at the same time shows Obama (33), Clinton (29), Edwards (20).

Desmoinesdem is right about polling in Iowa being very difficult, but wtf, one of these polls is drastically wrong. The conclusion must be, yes, we need more polls! For me, I'll wait for Zogby's last poll to bank on, especially in regard to second choices-- where he nailed it in '04.

The one other thing to add about the TNS poll that ABC/WaPost has:

Adding to the challenge for Clinton and Obama is that they are relying more heavily than Edwards on potential first-time caucus participants. More than half the supporters of Clinton and Obama have never caucused, while two-thirds of Edwards's backers have done so.
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 05:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. I have my own poll
It says it's a tight race ;)
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 05:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. There can be no question about the conclusions from your polling.
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 05:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. That concurs with MY Poll.. we must be right :-)
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Within the margin of error, anyways
:D

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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-19-07 05:18 PM
Response to Original message
3. Caucus is harder to predict than a general election. I think the most organized will win Iowa.
Edited on Wed Dec-19-07 05:19 PM by mmonk
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