Rasmussen- Clinton 42% Obama 20% Edwards- 13%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[jefferson_dem]

1. Status quo for Hillary and Obama. Apparantly, Edwards has had a rough day in the field.

n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. He Just Needs To Bash Hillary Some More

I'm sure Joe Trippi will instruct him to do that as bashing is his raison d'etre....

Has he ever won a race?

[saracat]

3. Apparently DSB likes to cherry pick polls . It is a statistical dead heat in IOWA according to CBS.

posted right on this page too!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. I Post The Rasmussen Poll Just About Every Day. Do An AutoSearch

DSB

[DavidDvorkin]

14. I post the graphical version every day

Today's is here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=post&forum=132&topic_id=3518385&mesg_id=3717201

[jefferson_dem]

5. Why is this cherry picking?

This Ras poll just came out... The CBS numbers have been discussed here since yesterday evening.

[geek tragedy]

6. No, he posts these every day.

Didn't notice you complaining when it showed Edwards at 18%.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. I Did An Auto Search

Of my name and Rasmussen and got 36 hits... Most of them were threads with Rasmussen Results...

Here's a slighlty closer poll:


http://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2007%20poll_tpline_nov11.pdf


I don't think the Cook poll pushes undecideds...

[jefferson_dem]

12. JE is down there also, as compared to their September poll.

n/t

[MNDemNY]

8. .

:nopity: :nopity:

[rinsd]

10. Also according to CBS, Edwards has fallen below double digits in NH.

Edwards had better win Iowa and win big or his campaign is over.

[geek tragedy]

11. His campaign is already dead.

It's just twitching now, like a chicken with its head cut off.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. Ya Think

He was showing some life yesterday... That being said it was beyond stupid of me to be influenced by a one day movement in the Rasmussen poll...

If he loses IA it's over...

[geek tragedy]

15. Even if he wins Iowa, he's trailing by HUGE margins

in New Hampshire and South Carolina. A candidate needs to be within striking distance in those states before the Iowa caucuses to win. Edwards simply isn't in striking distance.

Moreover, his idiotic decision to go for public financing means that he'll be at a HUGE disadvantage in terms of money. He won't be able to dent the media markets in NJ, NY, CA, or IL.

Reality is that he's behind Clinton in every state, including his own home state. He's behind by 30 points in South Carolina and 25 points behind in New Hampshire. He can expect maybe a +15 points swing from Iowa. So, he wins Iowa, loses NH, loses SC, and has no money to compete on February 5.

Dead man walking.

[rinsd]

16. Hey GT (and DSB feel free to chime in)

Do you think in the event of an Edwards win in IA, he would skip NH and go straight to SC to focus there?

[geek tragedy]

17. He's more screwed in SC than he is in NH.

I don't think he can win SC no matter what. With Hillary and Obama in the race, black folks (40-50% of the primary electorate there) simply aren't buying what he's selling.

As I said, already dead, just twitching.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

20. He's Getting Three Percent Of The African American Vote In South Carolina

That's not good...

[geek tragedy]

21. And, if Obama tanks, his AA support goes to Clinton.

And, if Clinton loses AA support, they'll go to Obama.

Edwards is stuck with the coalition of young white people and old white people, white men and white women.

[geek tragedy]

7. Yep, Edwards had an outlier day drop out.

Back to earth he falls.

[obnoxiousdrunk]

18. Do you think that

the Edwards campaign is in it's last throes ? Looks like it .

[geek tragedy]

19. Well, I would not use those words, for obvious reasons. n/t