Iowa a Must-Win State for Obama

[Herman Munster]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/2008_democratic_presidential_primary

As for Clinton, if she wins the Iowa caucus, there is nothing to stop her from getting the nomination. If she loses in Iowa, the caucus winner will have a brief moment to capitalize on the event and make his case. But, the Clinton campaign does possess something that none of her challengers can claim—a chance to win the nomination even if Iowa doesn’t work out as planned. She remains the most popular candidate among Democrats and is perceived to be the most electable. Clinton has a huge head start in New Hampshire and a solid demographic firewall due to her overwhelming support from women.

It is interesting that Obama has now adopted essentially the same tactical strategy as Mitt Romney is following in the GOP nominating contest-- win in the first real competition and hope that momentum will do the rest. And, that strategy confirms a reality that the Obama campaign memo forgot to mention… Iowa is a must-win state for the Senator from Illinois.

[sandnsea]

1. That is not Obama's strategy

But now we know that Clinton's strategy is pretending she doesn't need Iowa but everybody else does. :crazy:

[William769]

4. And how did that become Clinton's strategy?

Does she now own Rasmussen also?

[rucky]

2. Dunno. With so many more early states...

it may really change the dynamics. I think it's going to be close to the end.

[MannyGoldstein]

3. No - But It's A Must-Win For Mrs. Clinton

If Clinton loses Iowa, your "Resistance is futile!" strategy evaporates, and the long knives come out.

If Obama loses, it will be like Clinton and Dukakis losing Iowa - not necessarily of any great importance.

[Ethelk2044]

5. This has been posted already.

It is a must win for hillary.

[DURHAM D]

6. I honestly don't see it as a must win for Obama.

I think the John and Elizabeth Edwards campaign is essentially over already but I don't see an Iowa loss as a problem for Obama.
He has plenty of money unless he is spending too much in Iowa.

[jenmito]

7. Well, Rasmussen has Obama up to 28% and he hasn't had any media blitz

yet...

[zulchzulu]

8. Dupe-see original post here

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=3544385&mesg_id=3544385

[zulchzulu]

9. Better subject line: Obama WILL win Iowa by 6% or more

From the inside skinny from the campaign, Obama supporters are getting stronger and more numerous by the day in the first four states The iowa ground game is expanding and crowd turnout is large.

We'll see what happens.

[TSIAS]

10. Edwards needs Iowa

All I think Obama has to be is a close 2nd and beat HRC. A 3rd place for either frontrunner would be disastrous.