Another SC Poll: Clinton leads Obama ...31-27

[SaveElmer]

With Edwards at 16...

I am actually most baffled by Edwards' poor performance in the state of his birth..


On the Republican side...McCain with a fairly hefty lead over Guiliani...

http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/2007/04/mccain_hrc_lead.html

[racaulk]

1. I'm surprised by Edwards' showing as well.

Didn't he win the SC primary in 2004? And now he's in third place? Weird...

[Dawgs]

2. Good for Obama.

That's a good place to be at this point in the race. Hillary seems to be one or two bad mistakes away from losing a lot of her support.

[wyldwolf]

4. at the same time...

Obama seems to be one or two bad mistakes away from falling even further behind.

[Dawgs]

7. I agree, you are right, but...

I think Hillary is the one on thinner ice. Obama's disapprovals are very low compared to other candidates. Hillary's are already in the 45%-50% range.

[wyldwolf]

9. at the same time...

... Hillary's negatives are about as high as they'll go. Obama's will move up the more known he becomes.

[BeyondGeography]

3. Black votes are very hard to come by for Edwards in SC

or anywhere else for that matter, between a black candidate and Big Dog's wife running (and don't take this the wrong way; her strength with black voters is real, but it depends very heavily on Bill).

[rinsd]

5. Don't African Americans comprise a huge chunk of the SC primary voters? Like 40% or something?

[BeyondGeography]

6. It was half the vote in 2004

<Black voters accounted for 49 percent of the vote in the 2004 Democratic primaries in South Carolina. By contrast, exit polls showed 1 percent of New Hampshire’s 2004 Democratic primary voters were black.>

http://www.goupstate.com/article/20070216/NEWS/702160328/-1/NEWS100

[rinsd]

8. Thanks (nt)