Two Major New Polls BOTH Skew Toward Republican w/o Mentioning in Results

[Roland99]

For the new Pew poll, the results are skewed as more respondents are Conservative and fewer are Liberal. Just look at their sampling:

http://people-press.org/reports/tables/295.pdf

Nov. 2006 (Rep/Lean Rep...Dem/Lean Dem...Other)
Conservative: 73...21... 6
Moderate: 31...58...11
Liberal: 8...82.. 9

Oct. 2006 (Rep/Lean Rep...Dem/Lean Dem...Other)
Conservative: 70...24... 6
Moderate: 23...67... 9
Liberal: 9...90... 1

For the ABC/Washington Post poll...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_110406.htm

908a. Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative?


Liberal Moderate Conservative Don't think in those terms (vol.) op.
11/4/06 19 42 36 2 1
10/22/06 22 42 32 2 2

How convenient neither poll's skew toward Republican is noted in the poll results, setting the stage for a closer election and making it easier to pass off another election theft by the public.

[flowomo]

1. I'm not sure you are interpreting this correctly....

The Pew poll says that 21% of Dems identify themselves as conservative, but only 8% of Republicans identify as liberal (and only 9% of "other"). So the "conservative" strain runs deep in both parties. This is then reflected in the WashPo poll, where more respondents (of all parties/other combined) skew conservative. The polls are not tilted toward Republicans, as you say, but toward conservatives, as it should be, since more people identify themselves that way.

I could be wrong.

[Roland99]

2. But look at the change from the prior month

There's a dramatic change in the % of people claiming to be conservative vs. liberal. There are more conservatives polled in this more recent poll.

[DCal]

3. The Post poll defintely sampled more conservatives

this time, which can explain away any trend toward the GOP.

It is difficult to tell from the table you show on the Pew results whether they are also skewed. The table only shows how conservatives, moderates and liberals plan to vote, not how many conservatives are in the sample.

[flowomo]

4. dramatic?

I see a 3% incresae in the Pew (both for Repubs/Dems) and 4 in the WashPo. Why do you call that "dramatic"? And as for the liberals in the Pew, the Dem/lean Dem and other add up to 91% which suggests some migration from "lean dem" to "other" over that time. I don't know -- it just doesn't seem way out of line to me.