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According to RCP we will take the senate

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59millionmorons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:16 PM
Original message
According to RCP we will take the senate
RCP is now showing a pick up of 6 seats.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/
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BamaLefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. Here's how I see it
PA, OH, and NJ are definitely in the bag for us. That's already switching 2 from red to blue. MT is another likely takeover along with VA and RI. MO should come down to the wire and I see us winning in a hotly contested, Wednesday decided election. And in TN, I don't see us winning unless there is a heavy turnout in Memphis, Nashville, and former Dem stronghold rural, southern TN.
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cobaindrain Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. RI is in the bag
Chafee down 10 in the latest poll, he's toast.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. CNN has Corker by 8 points NO FUCKIN WAY!!!
Notice ford has been behind according to every major poll. but Ford said his internal polling says the race is a dead heat.
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cobaindrain Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:45 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. well the Rasmussen...
which is more recent than the CNN has Corker only up by 2, which is pretty much a dead heat. Tough to tell where the wind is blowing in that state.
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ddeclue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. The CNN poll was of "likely" voters
which means it was probably weighted more heavily with Republicans who in the last few elections have done better at GOTV.
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Daylin Byak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Anyone who says that NJ "is in the bag" is dead wrong
Menendez has been in a tight race with Tom Kean and this race will come down to the wire.

But I do believe we will win in PA, RI and MT. You can mark it in your calendars.
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ddeclue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:52 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. I don't think it's "in the bag" but..
NJ is a lot more Democratic than TN, MO, or VA...
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cobaindrain Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:54 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. menendez up by 5, 6, and 7 in recent polls
Maybe not in the bag but certainly comfortable
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 11:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. I live in NJ and hears the story on the race
Edited on Tue Oct-31-06 11:19 PM by bigdarryl
Melendez has the support of more woman than Kaine and all North Jersey is for Melendez which is where most of the population in this state is. Kaine has the support of the Southern region. no candidate in this state can win without the womens vote and if they don't carry the Northern part there toasted. Kain isn't going to win with numbers like that there's just not enough population in South Jersey for him to win the whole state
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stopbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 10:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. I'm predicting 8 and I stand by that.
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snowbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 10:35 PM
Response to Original message
10. RCP? ... Royal Canadian Police?
~~~~

I'm thinking we'll gain Pennsylvania for sure..

And I'm sure hoping Whitehouse maintains that lead in Rhode Island through election day..

I'd think Ohio was in the bag for sure, but Ken Blackwell is in charge of the elections AND is running for Governor in the homestate of Diebold???

I think Tennesseans are insane if they vote Corker the Dorker over Harold Ford.. but if you believe the polls.. It sure sounds like the Rovian RACIST ads could possibly be working there?

Menendez.. you just HAVE to hang onto New Jersey!!

Despite the media harping on how Conrad Burns is making a comeback, I still think Jon Tester will win Montana. I talk to LOTS of bigsky friends and family members who don't share the media's sentiments about Burns.

Virginia is a real toughie.. Webb winning would be the best thing in the world for us.. but Virginia is going to still be a tough nut to crack.

And Missouri.. as they say early in the evening on election night... "too close to call!"

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