This has got to be one of the lamest excuses ever for bad poll numbers (bad for Repubs, that is). Despite the fact that Jason Altmire's commissioned poll in mid-September for PA-04 showed the EXACT same results, Jay Cost of RCP blames the gridiron for Melissa Hart's troubles.:wtf:
<snip for Real Clear Politics>
Footnote: I am not a pollster, but it struck me as very peculiar that the Trib would commission a poll for last weekend in Pittsburgh. On Saturday, Pitt played Rutgers at Heinz Field. On Sunday, the Steelers played the Falcons. How many men do you think answered the phone over the weekend? If I was back in my dear hometown district (or, should I say, "hometahn district"), I know that I would have hung up right quick (a head counter for the local Alderman actually showed up at my door during the 2nd Quarter of the Steelers game -- and I don't think I have ever been so quick to tell somebody "No thank you!"). I can't help but wonder: is this sample representative of the 4th? I doubt that it is. The 4th was watching Panther and Steeler football (a bad, bad, bad weekend, I must say...). Does that help one candidate or another? My sense is that it helps Altmire. Most of the voting population of the 4th is the northern suburbs in Allegheny and Butler Counties -- and football fans there tend to be white men, i.e. anti-tax Republican voters.
Oh ya, he also claims that Hart's warchest will make her poll numbers all better too.:rofl:http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/pa_04_poll_results.htmlPoll results:
Trib poll: Altmire, Hart close in 4th District race
By Bonnie Pfister
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Wednesday, October 25, 2006
Democratic challenger Jason Altmire is nearly even with Republican U.S. Rep. Melissa Hart in the race for the 4th Congressional District, according to a new Pittsburgh Tribune-Review opinion poll.
The poll of 400 likely voters, conducted over the weekend by Susquehanna Polling & Research in Harrisburg, shows three-term incumbent Hart leading Altmire by 4 percentage points -- 46 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error is 4.9 percent. Eleven percent were undecided, and 1 percent said they wouldn't vote for either candidate.
The poll also shows growing skepticism about the Iraq war and the performance of top Republicans -- U.S. Senator Rick Santorum and President Bush -- among 4th District voters. The district includes most of Butler and Beaver counties, as well as parts of Allegheny, Westmoreland and Mercer counties.
http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/cityregion/s_476533.html