Clock running out for GOP; Speaker Pelosi in 07 Looking Good (TPM)

[chill_wind]

TPM links to quote from upcoming coverage in National Journal
link at http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/08/04/the_gathering_storm.html

cited at
http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/week_2006_07_30.php#009310

August 04, 2006
The Gathering Storm
From Charlie Cook's forthcoming National Journal column:

"Time is running out for Republicans. Unless something dramatic happens before Election Day, Democrats will take control of the House. And the chances that they’ll seize the Senate are rising toward 50-50.

"The electoral hurricane bearing down on the GOP looks likely to be a Category 4 or 5, strong enough to destroy at least one of the party’s majorities. The political climate feels much as it did before previous elections that produced sizable upheavals, such as in 1994, when Democrats lost 52 House seats, eight Senate seats, and control of both chambers."

Unless something dramatic happens....

[acmavm]

1. Drastic as in martial law or Diebold?

[MissWaverly]

2. You haven't factored in Mr. Anthrax

what if there was an outbreak somewhere just before election day coupled by a tape from our
favorite terrorist video star: Osama

[chill_wind]

3. Other good news. A few Senate/Gov races- very latest polls

Latest Polls

WV-SEN Rasmussen Aug 5
Byrd (D) 56%, Raese (R) 31%
NY-SEN Rasmussen Aug 5
Clinton (D) 61%, McFarland (R) 31%
NY-SEN Rasmussen Aug 5
Clinton (D) 61%, Spencer (R) 31%
NY-GOV Rasmussen Aug 5
Suozzi (D) 44%, Faso (R) 29%
NY-GOV Rasmussen Aug 5
Spitzer (D) 62%, Faso (R) 21%
CT-SEN Research 2000 Aug 4
Dem. Prim. Lamont 53%, Lieberman 43%
PA-GOV Issues PA Aug 4
Rendell (D) 35%, Swann (R) 27%
PA-06 GHY (D) Aug 4
Murphy (D) 42%, Gerlach (R) 41%

http://electioncentral.tpmcafe.com/

[AX10]

4. k&r

[zcflint09]

5. Good to hear---

Now let's not count our chickens before they're hatched yet. We've only got a few more months to bust our asses to close the deal but victory will be ever so sweet when we do. K and R'ed!

[Webster Green]

6. I honestly don't think the pukes will turn over the House or Senate

They have far too much to lose. If the dems were to start investigating their criminal activities, the pukes would be facing impeachment and long prison sentences. No doubt they are working the shredders overtime to attempt to cover their asses, but there will still be enough evidence to put them all away for a long time.

If they can't manage to steal another election with their voting machine hoax, my guess is martial law will be imposed, based on allegations of election fraud by democrats, with the help of their Al Queda terrorist buddies.

These guys are true fascists. They have shown no regard whatsoever for our election process or our constitution.

[MrBenchley]

7. Excellent news

Anybody notice that as the Republicans fortunes wane, the number of "Democraps are corporate whores" and "I'm never giving a dime" and "Democrats have to adopt this or that crackpot position" and "We have to get rid of this or that Democrat" threads increase?

[Stinky The Clown]

8. Anybody notice .....

... how one note tunes get old fast?

[MrBenchley]

10. Hey, don't cry to me

because the tedious ratfucking by the "hate Democrats" crowd is so blatantly obvious....

[chill_wind]

9. "Crackpot positions" such as.......? nt

[MrBenchley]

11. If you don't know, what the fuck is it to you?

[chill_wind]

12. Just want to see you define your bilious labels and politics for all

to clearly see.

[MrBenchley]

13. I support Democrats, bub....

Now go snivel about labels to somebody who gives a shit. Try one of those pimping for the Greens this week.

[chill_wind]

16. interesting cop out. nt

[MrBenchley]

18. It's a "cop out" to support the Democratic party?

Wow, is that telling.....

[chill_wind]

20. Don't be disingenuous. I asked a simple question

in a nice polite manner. You don't want to elaborate when confronted. You simply want to flame. I don't question your Dem credentials, but your acid, hateful directed rhetoric at any one who confronts you is often enough a page right out of Freeperville.

[MrBenchley]

22. LOL! Being called disingenuous by "Mr. Cop Out" is an honor

"You don't want elaborate when confronted."
I don't see any fucking reason to. You wouldn't have jumped in unless you knew what I was referring to in the first place. And we both know that.

Nor was what I said obscure in any way.

[chill_wind]

23. Then don't be so coy. Dem "Crackpot positions .." such as..?

If you're going to hijack the thread with your complete antagonism to most of DU you might as well hijack it all the way.

[MrBenchley]

26. Define "coy"...(snicker)

"complete antagonism to most of DU"
Funny, it's only three boboes bitching--and they're bitching because somebody correctly descirbed their attempts to derail a possible Democratic victory.

[welshTerrier2]

14. not a penny or a vote for any f*ing war supporters ...

that's my position ...

and you're calling the majority of Americans who now strongly oppose the war "crackpots"?

oh, and before you go slandering the left any further, notice that i posted this same topic, one that you called "excellent news", two days ago: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=2758684&mesg_id=2758684

does your jukebox know any other tunes??

[MrBenchley]

15. Nobody here but us chickens.....

"does your jukebox know any other tunes??"
Why? Are we ever going to see a change in the far left's horesshit?

[welshTerrier2]

19. posting about dem victories is horseshit?

you truly are a one trick pony ...

[MrBenchley]

21. Thanks for illustrating my point so eloquently

"you truly are a one trick pony ..."
Wish you even had one.

[PaDem]

17. Overly optimistic in my opinion

odds are quite slim that we take the house.

[Awsi Dooger]

27. I don't know where you get that

We have a much better chance to take the House than the senate. The House is considered 50/50 while the senate is in the 20/80 range. IMO, that's still too high for the senate. A national tide can push us over the top in the House but the senate requires knocking out many incumbents, plus an open seat in the South. We haven't exactly been dominating the open seats in the South, as evidenced by Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Lousiana and South Carolina in 2004.

[chill_wind]

24. All of the sudden, we have all these self-described "Independant"

free-lancing Republicans. Bwah! :-)Dems can very easily destroy their phony campaigns with the record.

GOP Candidates Claim Degrees Of Separation From President

By Michael Abramowitz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, August 5, 2006; Page A01

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/04/AR2006080401807.html?nav=rss_politics

[LetsGoMurphys]

25. Or Murtha for that matter..n/t