A Good Site If You're Following Midterm Elections

[longship]

Election Predictions

Pretty damned good analysis and regular updates on the status of all the important races across the nation.

I believe that the person who is running this site, like our Ava, is a high school student. He's pretty sharp. He claims that he is partisan, but strives to be totally objective in his analyses. Also, he does not say with which party he sides.

Note: Not all his analysis is the most up to date. However, he does try to keep up with things as best he can. I thought DUer's might want to give him a hand.

Just another fine example of a tool that blogging can give us.

[Lasher]

1. Thanks for the tip

The Election Predictions website shows a gain of three Democratic seats in the US Senate: Montana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Based on the most recent polls, I agree with this asessment with one exception: Current polling indicates we will lose a Democratic seat in Wisconsin 42% to 46% if Tommy Thompson (R) decides to run. If he does not, we will probably retain that seat.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/wisconsin_poll_060806.htm

I'm hoping for the best but planning for the worst, so I'll consider Wisconsin a Republican pickup until we find out if Thompson is going to run, or until revised polling indicates we would beat him in the general election.

There are several other competitive Senate races, and we have made some gains in them. I'm particularly interested in what's been going on in Virginia lately.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_oet&address=358x351

Eyes on the prize, boys and girls. We need to gain six or more Senate seats in November. If things improve in Wisconsin, we're halfway there already.

[femmocrat]

4. Heard this morning on C-span that Thompson isn't running.

Hope I got that right.

Great news on PA. But don't take Santorum's gap in the polls for granted. Casey isn't a great campaigner and Tricky Ricky will do anything to get re-elected.

Ford could take it in TN, too.... he's pretty close in the polls with is opponents and is better-known.

[Lasher]

5. Tennessee's 8/3/06 primary is important

You are right about Thompson, and I first learned this good news from you, thanks.

http://www.madison.com/wsj/home/local/index.php?ntid=88229&ntpid=2

It is likely that one of three Republican candidates will get their nomination: Bryant, Hilleary, or Corker. A May 1 Rasmussen poll showed Hilleary would be the strongest of the three against Ford in the general election, but a 6/13/ Zogby poll predicted Corker would be the biggest threat. Tennessee has an open primary, so maybe we can help them pick their weakest candidate. I don't know if that would be Bryant or not since the situation seems so fluid.

[TheVirginian]

8. TN Primary

Bryant and Hilleary are basically the same candidate. They agree on almost every issue, and have admitted to such. Technically, Bryant is weaker than Hilleary, but all polls showing that have put both of them within the MoE, so they're statistically even. They're basically the same person.

Corker is the guy to watch out for. He's the best funded, and has been very aggressive in his campaign, and its paid off, as he now enjoys a good margin over both of his primary challengers and Ford. He's also more moderate than the conservative Bryant and Hilleary, which they're using as fodder in their negative attacks towards Corker, but these only help Corker in the general election.

As far as Dems voting in the GOP primary, it probably won't do much good. Its not close enough to make a major difference, and there's no discernable "weak" candidate. On top of that, most Dems will vote in the Democratic primary, since Ford has a challenger as well (albeit a minor one).

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Thanks for the analysis

Your posts on the individual races are very informative

[doc mercer]

2. Site

Thank you, sir!

[SCDem]

3. Thanks I told him/her/it to update the predictions on SC

[espera17]

6. i have been promoting this site as well

there are so many races to cover, and i believe he is a high school student. understandably he can't update all the time!

[Catchawave]

7. I've had it bookmarked for awhile

I don't think he's updated Virginia since December :(

It is a great site though :hi: