WP: Pollsters debate Hispanic vote; Simon Rosenberg cites Bushes' appeal

[DeepModem Mom]

Pollsters Debate Hispanics' Presidential Voting
Discrepancy In Estimates vs. Results Examined

By Darryl Fears
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, November 26, 2004; Page A04

In the days before the presidential election, some opinion surveys said Democrats would get as much as 65 percent of the Hispanic vote.

But on the morning after the voting, some exit polls held that Democratic nominee John F. Kerry had received about 56 percent of Hispanics' votes and that President Bush had gotten 44 percent....

***

Sergio Bendixen, a Miami-based public opinion researcher who helped survey Hispanics for the New Democrat Network in the District, said the answer lies in the diversity among Hispanics, the largest ethnic group in the United States....

***

(John) Zogby believes the correct percentage for Hispanic Bush supporters is 33 to 38. That view is supported by an exit poll conducted by the William C. Velasquez Institute of San Antonio....

***

Simon Rosenberg, president of the New Democrat Network, said Bush's appeal to Hispanics is clear: As a former governor of Texas, the president has a better grasp than his opponent of immigrant issues. Bush's brother Jeb, governor of Florida, speaks Spanish like a native Cuban and appealed directly to Latino voters on the president's behalf. The president's nephew George P. Bush is a rising star in the Republican Party.

"The relationship of the Bush family to Hispanics is something like Bill Clinton's relationship with African Americans," Rosenberg said....

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A13260-2004Nov25_2.html

[blm]

1. I believe Zogby and Velasquez. Rosenberg is legitimizing Bush' numbers

which I believe were padded all over the country by about 5 %.

IOW, Rosenberg is CELEBRATING the theft of the very Hispanic votes he purports to analyze.

[Cheswick2.0]

3. Rosenberg, New Democratic Network= DLC

Its the same folks, folks.

[RogueTrooper]

4. No, Cheswick

The DLC and NDN had quite a falling out over Howard Dean. In fact NDN set up shop in opposition to some of the DLC's policies. The Dixicrat Leadership Council did not like the idea of targeting minorites.

[blm]

5. There's the left side to DLC and a right side to the DLC.

There is also just being plain wrong on a particular issue.

[DeepModem Mom]

2. Sorry -- link is to article, page 2; here is link to entire article:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A13260-2004Nov25?language=printer