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QUICK POLL: Should we permit members to post exit polls on DU?

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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:45 PM
Original message
Poll question: QUICK POLL: Should we permit members to post exit polls on DU?
We have posted a few announcements telling members not to post exit polls. We have been doing this because 1) exit polls are notoriously unreliable, and 2) exit polls are often used to suppress voter turn-out by making people feel that there is nothing they can do to change the outcome.

On the other hand, this is a website for people who are very well informed and enthusiastic about politics, so it is likely that most visitors to DU would vote anyway, regardless of what the exit polls say.

After deleting dozens of exit poll threads, we're wondering if we should just go with the flow and let members post whatever they want.

So, we've decided to ask you to decide: Should we allow exit polls to be posted on DU?
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. No
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leftyandproud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #1
64. yes damnit!!! *NT*
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Worst Username Ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. I would say no.
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
3. I can't imagine anyone on DU not voting. nt
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #3
40. but there are lurkers
who read but don't post and might not be as active as those who post. Or maybe not, I'm just throwing it out there.
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wellstone_democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
4. No. If we want them, we can find 'em---many seem to be posted by
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM by wellstone_democrat
relatively new people. My concern is the potential to have them viewed on a site with Democratic in the name as decisive despite disclaimers and thereby depressing turn out.

clarify subject line
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
5. People know where to get them if they want to read them
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM by high density
I see no reason for having dozens of threads being made about the same exit poll numbers.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. yes. just direct them. nt
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
6. Thank You For Asking.
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Steelangel Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
7. No!
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM by Steelangel
as you said, 'notoriously unreliable'. that's why.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
8. They Are Everywhere But I Understand Why You Don't Want Them Here....
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 03:01 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
Let's not jinx things...

We waited four long years we can wait four or five more hours...

Go Kerry

Go Dems

I love you all...
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RT Atlanta Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
10. Not sure...
I have already been guilty of it twice today, not out of a desire to break the rules, but purely from exuberance about (hopefully!) seeing that JUNTA go down in flames today.

This doesnt help your poll, but there is a little of the "why" behind it.

Thanks again for all of your work today and each and every day Skinner!

RT
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
11. People at DU want hard numbers so we don't get jerked around
I just want the facts - no surprises like FLORIDA this time!!!
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durablend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
12. NO!
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LuminousX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
13. Let them post links to it, but for some of us, we don't want to know
AS another member said... this isn't a sporting event and we shouldn't treat it like one.
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Phillycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
14. Yes, allow them. I want something, anything! I can't just sit here.
It's not like it's going to supress voting ON DU. That's insane.
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DrWeird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
15. possible suggestion.
How about you allow exit polls from states that are solidly red or blue like Mass. or Texas. And possible exit polls from swing states on the condition that they show leads as substantial as those from the "solid" states.
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ferme ta bush Donating Member (57 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
16. Posting Exit Polls
We're going to find it somewhere else, so why divert traffic from the site.
Perhaps state a disclaimer with each post. But you're right, we're all astute about these things and can discern between the BS.
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matcom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
17. not till after 6:00pm EST
by then this MAY be over
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. I agree...give it a few more hours. nt
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Blue_Roses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #17
41. I agree--wait till some of the results start coming in
I think early exit polling is what got Florida yanked back in the "undecided" category last time. I say never give Karl Rove an opportunity to steal this thing;)
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ieoeja Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:57 PM
Original message
Make that state-by-state.

No exit poll from any state wherein the polls have not yet closed. So that would be 7p CST for Illinois.

Okay, like we need an exit poll to figure out how Illinois is going to go.
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eataTREE Donating Member (488 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
18. I have officially become sick of polls.
Right up until today, I wanted to hear every poll in excruciating detail. But not today. The time for polls is done. There's only one poll that matters now, and it's being held at your local electoral precinct. We will know the results of that poll soon enough.
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Pabst Blue Democrat Donating Member (199 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
19. If YES
then can I suggest an offical thread to post them in, so that the board will not be overrun?

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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
20. Yes, were able to handle the "truth" and we will get info elsewhere
if need be.

PS. The poll said I voted and I did not? :shrug:
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chiburb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
21. No. Especially, early exit polls are notoriously inaccurate!!!
Don't want ANY false sense of security, and besides... Left Coast DUers should be respected too!
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Wat_Tyler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
23. We know where to get them if we need them.
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EmperorHasNoClothes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
24. I personally don't think ANY kind of results
should be posted before ALL polls close across the U.S. I'm not just talking about DU here - I think all of the early results are just one more aspect of a voting system that is completely f'd up.
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Goldmund Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
25. Though I completely agree with the principle, I voted "yes"
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 02:51 PM by slavkomae
I'm totally with you as far as your rationale for not posting exit polls. But DU is far from being an air-tight environment, and people will find these polls if they look for them; furthermore, since they're looking good for us, understandably, people are itching to post them and are "hinting" at them all over the place. So in the end, it feels kinda artificial that we can't post them, though most of us know what they are anyway.
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Walt Starr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
26. This is what I LOVE about DU, the DEMOCRACY IN ACTION!!!
I'd say, exit poll results once the polls close completely in a state would be okay.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
27. No. nt
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
28. Non, Nigh, Nyet!!!!
NO!

Skinner, I ask that you do not allow them up until the polls start to close.

We are still voting. I want everyone to vote. I don't want anyone to get the wrong idea and let these exit polls influence their votes.

Please, GOTV!!!!

:dem:
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bigfishsmallpond Donating Member (39 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
29. no
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
30. No.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
31. NO, anyone's who's been to other librul areas of the Internets...
can find em easily
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salvorhardin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
32. I understand the reasoning
It makes sense. If anyone cares I have set up an exit polls mailing list. Details here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=1276699&mesg_id=1276699

Apparently not many people really care as I only have 7 subsrcibers so far and no one has posted anything.
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mourningdove92 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
33. I say, trust the Mods on this one.
They have worked hard for us all, and if this is what they believe is right, I have no problem with that.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #33
45. Well said n/t
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Jacobin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #33
63. I'm with you
They have done a fantastic job of creating a great place to watch and discuss the election. I defer to the mods on this issue.

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AspenRose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
34. Don't do it, Skinner
(Awfully considerate of you to take a poll, though...aren't you guys busy enough as it is?)
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Amaya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
35.  No
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Hamlette Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
36. we'll be finding them on our own and might want to discuss them
(for moral support if they are bad)
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #36
42. Right on!
How the media USE these things today is a key issue we will have to address.
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
37. Censorship just isn't DEMOCRATIC!
So I say YES, allow them without censorship, even though I wouldn't post them, or attach much significance to them.

Another point is that we can't even subject the media's use of these damn things to critical scrutiny, if the media pieces in question are censored from the get go!

Let Democracy and Free Speech function at DU!
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Mr X Donating Member (61 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
38. No
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genius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:54 PM
Response to Original message
39. My vote here didn't go through
I want to be prepared so I'm saying yes. Though I don't know how accurate these things are.
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Catfight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
43. Can you at least direct DU'rs to a site with exit polls posted? nt
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54anickel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #43
47. I second that request! n/t
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #43
49. K - O - S
is that too much? too little? ;)

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sr_pacifica Donating Member (775 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
44. No, they are unreliable and it will only make for more traffic problems
on the site. Let's keep it open for more useful information.
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Democat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:56 PM
Response to Original message
46. How about allowing links to other sites with the polls, but no numbers?
That would be a possible compromise.
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votedemocratic Donating Member (8 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #46
51. Allow links to exit polls but apply rule that an exit poll is included
in the link.
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4_Legs_Good Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
48. We're gonna be tempted to go to Drudge if we don't see them here
plus I dont' think it's gonna keep any of *us* from voting.

and the tension might end up killing several of us.

david
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:00 PM
Response to Reply #48
53. Be a fool - go support that Repuke Sludge
:eyes:
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4_Legs_Good Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #53
60. I don't want to support him, but DAMN I can't stand the tension
I'm just sayin' we're gonna be TEMPTED to go.

I won't go, but I'll still be tempted.

david
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #60
73. You're gonna feel like shit if you are misled AGAIN
Please do yourself a favor and go do some laundry or clean your house or something!! I am at work so I got stuff to do (now if I can only get away from this 'puter - hehe)
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LTRS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
50. Yes!
DU'ers are die hards. Nothing is going to stop them from voting, and you can just go get them elsewhere anyway.
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Czolgosz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:00 PM
Response to Original message
52. No, but we should let people post threads that begin "SOME SAY hope is
beating fear 52-48 in Ohio!"
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MsTryska Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:01 PM
Original message
Yes. PLEASE! I'm stuck in my cube, and i was actually
counting on y'all to give me the blow by blow.

so needless to say i'm a bit disappointed at the moment.
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CitySky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
54. Hey look, guys, Skinner believes in Democracy!
Even for us! :hug: You rock.

Thanks for asking us. Now I have to sheepishly admit I'm in the "undecided" category on this one! Perhaps the ONLY thing I've been "undecided" about in a while.

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SeanQ Donating Member (515 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
55. No - but links offsite in _replies_ would probably be OK
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Steelangel Donating Member (731 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
56. Skinner, a suggestion
Make a temp forum for that and let people who wants to see exit polls there. So that we people who don't want to see exit polls don't have to deal with these topics in these regular forums?

Just a thought.
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:02 PM
Response to Original message
57. You have enough to do guys -- don't add to your burden; nothing...
will stop us from voting against the Bush cabal, and for John Kerry. Besides, I think if people don't get exit poll leaks from here, they'll get them from Drudge, and elsewhere.
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deek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:03 PM
Response to Original message
58. Pin a thread to the top of latest pages
and just let the people who are interested in that stay there.

Or perhaps, if you don't want to lose the bandwidth, post a notice with exit poll links on it?
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Claire Beth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:04 PM
Response to Original message
59. No
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DuctapeFatwa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:04 PM
Response to Original message
61. Yes, it is unlikely that NOT putting them here will prevent anyone from

seeing them, since they are everywhere else.

Prohibiting them just makes more work for the administrators on an already busy day.
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Dob Bole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
62. No,,,but thanks for being open to changing your mind...
Did you know that moderators are not supposed to do that?
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Technowitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
65. The info is being posted elsewhere, I see no reason to exclude it here
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Placebo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
66. I don't really think it's necessary.
:)
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russian33 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
67. No, DU is going to crash...there's enough stuff being posted already
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Worst Username Ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:10 PM
Response to Original message
68. OK so when do we wrap this poll up n/t
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H3Dakota Donating Member (314 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
69. If people want to see them, they can go look for them...
But don't put us (especially us cube rats) on that emotional roller coaster of "we're Winning!"... no, "we're losing"...

Like you said - this is a website for people who are very well informed - and exit polls are NOT the way to be very well informed, IMHO... ;)
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RogueTrooper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
70. Most Certainly Not
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bpilgrim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
71. Yes!
this is my most convienient single source for news and you want to kill that on it's most important day of the year?

please post! don't become lame-stream wannabees, please ;->

peace
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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
72. We have decided to permit exit polls.
I know... The result of this poll was against allowing them. But we were reading all the comments, and based on what we've read we feel that it is pointless to forbid them. Here's why: Everyone knows where to find exit polls and what they say. So we figure it's counterproductive to send our visitors over to other websites to get information. Also, we think anyone who would visit a site like DU would be likely to vote no matter what the polls say.

So, exit polls are permitted. But we expect members to clearly indicate the source for any exit polls that are posted here. Keep this in mind: Exit polls are unreliable, and exit polls from biased sources are even more unreliable.

And we hope that everyone will remember that our job is to get people out to vote, regardless of what the exit polls say.

Thanks for your input.

Skinner
DU Admin
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