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USAToday/CNN/Gallup Registered Voters: JFK-48 GWB-46

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troublemaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:46 PM
Original message
USAToday/CNN/Gallup Registered Voters: JFK-48 GWB-46
Edited on Sun Oct-31-04 08:57 PM by troublemaker
All the poll commentators have been hammering away to expect actual votes to be somewhere between RV and LV. We know the last Gallup LV is 49-49.

Go here>>>>> http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/usatodaypolls.htm

Top of chart there are links for "Sort by Registered" and "Sort by Likely"
Likely is the default so click "registered" Results are:

OCT 29-31 Registered Voters
Kerry 48
Bush 46
Nader 1
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troublemaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:54 PM
Response to Original message
1. I've checked it a few times. Seems correct. Has anyone mentioned it?
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osaMABUSh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. It is Kerry 48 to 46 !
Yet for some reason the graph is showing the red line (*) above the blue line (Kerry). I guess they really don't want to admit the Kerry is in the lead.
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troublemaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I assume the numbers are updated before the graphic.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 08:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. Thanks for the link. I was confused about the final tallies.
Good Guy up by two among registered, and Gallup's final projection is 49-49. Fuckin' A. We will WIN!
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Beetwasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:00 PM
Response to Original message
4. Has Any One Got the Repub Oversampling Numbers Yet?
What are the internals like? You know they oversampled Repubs, I wonder by how much...

These are terrific numbers for Kerry in this poll...
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troublemaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. BIG sample. They double up for the last one, so this is MOE +-2
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PartyPooper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. Won't these be the poll numbers they'll be showing on tv tomorrow am?
:D
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. They will probably go with the likely voter number (49-47) or projected
vote (49-49). It doesn't really matter though. We know...we got the MO!
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DaveinMD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-31-04 09:03 PM
Response to Original message
8. the electorate will be closer to the RV sample
Kerry is going to win. Still I will be incredibly nervous the next two days.
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