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Bookies pick Kerry 20 to 1

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ciaobox Donating Member (796 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:39 AM
Original message
Bookies pick Kerry 20 to 1
Odds on Kerry in Europe are 20 to 1!!!!

Kerry by a landslide
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demokatgurrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:39 AM
Response to Original message
1. link? which bookies where? n/t
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Randi_Listener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:40 AM
Response to Original message
2. Give me the link now.
..
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RevCheesehead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:41 AM
Response to Original message
3. That is one beautiful map you've got there!
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deadmessengers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:44 AM
Response to Reply #3
8. It's unrealistic, but it sure is pretty
I mean come on... Mississippi? Tennessee? GEORGIA?!? I live in GA. Shrub will win here by 15% at the bare minimum, 25% outside Fulton and Dekalb counties.
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nickinSTL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:41 AM
Response to Original message
4. Bookies?
Not really someone I consider a reliable source.

I like your Electoral Vote map, though I think it's a bit optimistic :D

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ciaobox Donating Member (796 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:42 AM
Response to Original message
5. No Link - Bookies in London
Just heard it on AAR
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:42 AM
Response to Original message
6. Wow you are dreaming with that map. I like it though.
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Michael_UK Donating Member (285 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:44 AM
Response to Original message
7. Not at Ladbrokes or William Hill
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Ugnmoose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:45 AM
Response to Original message
9. Your map looks good except
only change I would make is to give Bush Mississippi, although I it will be alot closer than some might think.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:46 AM
Response to Original message
10. 20-1 are not good odds people...
That means for every 1 dollar someone bets, if they win, they will get 20 dollars.

Great odds would be 1-20.
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pelagius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:47 AM
Response to Original message
11. Y'all know that betting odds...
Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 10:49 AM by pelagius
...are based on betting sentiment, right? So a 20-1 call for Kerry only means that the bettors (mostly Brits, right?) think Kerry has a one-in-20 chance to win?. Would you bring your umbrella if there were a 5% chance of rain.

But I do like that LA Times map!
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:47 AM
Response to Original message
12. Well then! No wonder Tweety has changed his mind. Just a month..
ago, he was saying that * would win because the bookies said so. :puke:
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giant_robot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:48 AM
Response to Original message
13. Not according to the links I've found
They've got Kerry at 11-10 and Bush at 4-6. That's a little more than even money for Kerry and a little less than even money for Bush.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet?action=show_type_by_main_market&category=SPECIALS&ev_class_id=33&id=1304

http://www.oddschecker.com/oddschecker/mode/o/card/cc8859x/odds/243698x/sid/377975/sort/F
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ciaobox Donating Member (796 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. HMMM I Don't know --
Just repeating what someone said on AAR this morning. Either way>>> Kerry by a LANDSLIDE
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Paradise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:49 AM
Response to Original message
14. went to latimes.com and the map i see is quite different! ???
click on this link and map will show you the latest polling data from each state.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/election-test-fl,0,1851284.flash?coll=la-home-multimedia

it's an interactive map to test your own scenarios. that's some scenario you have created!
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aden_nak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:50 AM
Response to Original message
15. Georgia? Mississippi?
Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 10:50 AM by aden_nak
I appreciate the vote of confidence from Europe, but I don't think those states are going to fare that well. Georgia has, maybe, a slim chance (just because it's become very densely populated recently, and that suggests more urban lifestyles). I expect that we will win, but not by that many ELECTORAL votes.

On the flip side, I advise EVERYONE to bet money on a Bush victory.

Why, you ask? Well, if Kerry wins the election, you'll be happy to give the money up.

If Bush wins the election, shit. . . you're going to need the extra cash!
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #15
18. Georgia - Mississippi - Blue???
I don't see that happening at all...It's a fantasy of mine, but I'm realistic.
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Maddy McCall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 12:02 PM
Response to Reply #15
23. Mississippi has more of a chance going for Kerry than Georgia.
Don't count us out. The polls before the debates had Bush with ONLY A NINE POINT LEAD. I have distributed over a hundred Kerry signs in the past two weeks. People are hungry for change.

Look into what Haley Barbour has done to Mississippi since he was elected--namely kicking 65,000 people off Medicaid. They vote, as do their families.

Don't count us out. We may not go blue, but we won't be solid Bush, either.
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idaholeft Donating Member (13 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
17. here's a link
Actually, most have * as a slight (very slight) favorite.

http://www.oddschecker.com/oddschecker/mode/o/card/cc8859x/odds/243698x/sid/377975

You can see odds on lots of stuff; outcomes in battle ground states, popular vote winner, there's even and over/under on turnout.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #17
22. Hi idaholeft!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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ILeft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
19. Nice disclaimer at William Hill:
"Predict the winner on the 2004 Presidential Election - NOT the Inauguration in 2005 (Election is November 2004)"

http://www.willhill.com/iibs/EN/buildcoupon.asp?CouponChoice=PO407741&Rules=true&compid=645722&opptype=

Kerry's security IS immediately stepped up to POTUS level if he wins the election, right?
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 11:13 AM
Response to Original message
20. Why would anyone take or place bets on a proven rigged contest?
Even if Kerry wins as expected, the spread is almost guaranteed to be completely inaccurate. How would the bookies pay out on a tied race that's decided by congress? Sounds like a sucker's bet to me.
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GOPBasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 11:16 AM
Response to Original message
21. We'll win, but not by that much.
Come on, I'd settle for a solid 300 eV's.
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Maddy McCall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-27-04 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
24. delete
Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 12:19 PM by jchild
It was a stupid question.
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