Dean Leads in New Delaware and Illinois Polls..

[slinkerwink]

IL

Dean 29%
Gephardt 16%
Mosley-Braun 14%
Clark 13%
Kerry 7%

DE

Dean 27%
Clark 18%
Sharpton 13%
Gephardt 11%
Lieberman 10%

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

[hellhathnofury]

1. That's good news.

Sharpton is onlt 5% behind Clark, is he surging? Clark should be worried Delaware is a Feb 3.

[slinkerwink]

2. lol....it's good news for Dean anyway...

;-)

[hellhathnofury]

3. I can't wait to knock him back down 5 points in NH.

It's easy to surge when nobody is watching.

[Cuban_Liberal]

4. He and JL have had NH all to themselves.

That changes next Tuesday! :evilgrin:

[slinkerwink]

5. man, I really can't wait for the Iowa Caucus....

;-)

[hellhathnofury]

6. I'm calling it at 8 points for Dean.

Which is quite a showing.

[Cuban_Liberal]

8. I think Dean's likely leading, at this point.

Zogby does a 3-day averaging of poll numbers, and Monday was 'Black Monday' for rhe Dean campaign--- he was losing to Kerry by 7 points. Logically, then, his numbers have to have risen dramatically to be so close to kerry today.

I think Dean will win Iowa by 8-10%.

:)

[hellhathnofury]

10. Just goes to show the inaccuracy of those polls.

Good pollsters use 700-1000, this was 169 a day.

[Cuban_Liberal]

11. Yes.

My s/o tells me that the 4 major campaigns are doing internal polling with much larger samples (1000-1500) on a daily basis, so I would suspect that they have a more accurate picture of what's going on than Zogby or ARG do, frankly.

[shivaji]

15. That makes two of us LOL

Dean winning Iowa by 7+ points will be time to celebrate!

[tameszu]

7. DE poll is horrible news for JL

He was previously leading or within the MoE for 1st here, wasn't he?

[Cuban_Liberal]

9. Lieberman is done, IMO.

I think he'll MAYBE last until Feb. 3rd, but will withdraw immediately afterwards.

[hellhathnofury]

13. No big surpise, he really was leading on name recognition.

Go joe!

[Bombtrack]

12. Illinois' primary won't matter in all liklihood

march 9th should really be a stopping block

[Cuban_Liberal]

14. Oh joy, oh joy!

Oh, well, at least I'll be able to vote for the leader. ;)

[jmaier]

16. I'm not too sure that IL

won't matter. If IA & NH finish up tight races with solid 3-way delegate splits and the same pattern is repeated on Feb 3rd. Who knows how long this race will be an open issue?

I would imagine Dean will pick up a good chunk of Braun's IL support since it is probably also Simon support if and when IL matters. I know that canvassing for Clark in Evanston you run into a good mass of Dean support here.

[Cuban_Liberal]

17. IF Illinois is still in play...

Dean will rack u a huge win here, IMO. I would say that IL is solidly 'Dean country'.