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NATIONAL ABC News, Oct. 20-23, 1,638 LV, MoE +/-2.5 (Results from ABC News tracking poll a week ago in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (50) —Kerry-Edwards, 48 percent (46) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (2) —Unsure, 3 percent (2) (The Washington Post shares data from this ABC-Post tracking poll, but does its own analysis) ARKANSAS — 6 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 5.4 percentage points) Opinion Research Associates for media clients, Oct. 18-20, 500 LV, MoE +/-4.5 (Results from September poll by Opinion Research in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (52) —Kerry-Edwards, 48 percent (43) —Others/Unsure, 4 percent (5) FLORIDA — 27 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 537 votes) Research 2000 for the Sun-Sentinel of Fort Lauderdale and The Times-Union of Jacksonville, Oct. 18-21, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 —Kerry-Edwards, 48 percent —Bush-Cheney, 47 percent —Nader-Camejo, 2 percent —Unsure, 3 percent MAINE — 4 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 5.1 percentage points) Zogby - Maine Sunday Telegram, Oct. 20-21, 402 LV, MoE +/-5 (Results from September Zogby poll in parentheses) —Kerry-Edwards, 50 percent (43) —Bush-Cheney, 39 percent (43) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (3) —Unsure, 10 percent (11) MONTANA — 3 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 25 percentage points) Mason-Dixon-Lee Newspapers of Montana, Oct. 18-20, 625 LV, MoE +/-4 —Bush-Cheney, 57 percent —Kerry-Edwards, 36 percent —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent —Unsure, 6 percent NEVADA — 5 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 3.5 percentage points) Research 2000 for the Reno Gazette-Journal/KRNV-TV, Oct. 19-21, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from August Research 2000 poll in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 49 percent (44) —Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (42) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (2) —Unsure, 3 percent (12) ——— Belden, Russonello & Stewart, Las Vegas Sun, KLAS-TV, KNPR, Oct. 16-19, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 —Bush-Cheney, 45 percent —Kerry-Edwards, 41 percent —Other/Unsure, 14 percent NEW HAMPSHIRE — 4 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 1.3 percentage points) Franklin Pierce College, Oct. 18-21, 453 LV, MoE +/-4.5 —Kerry, 50 percent —Bush, 41 percent —Nader, 1 percent —Unsure, 8 percent NEW JERSEY — 15 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 15.8 percentage points) Research 2000 for The Bergen Record, Oct. 18-21, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from early October Research 2000 poll in parentheses) —Kerry-Edwards, 50 percent (50) —Bush-Cheney, 43 percent (42) —Nader-Camejo, 2 percent (2) —Unsure, 5 percent (6) SOUTH CAROLINA — 8 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 15.9 percentage points) Mason-Dixon, Oct. 19-20,625 LV, MoE +/4 —Bush-Cheney, 53 percent —Kerry-Edwards, 40 percent —Other/Unsure, 7 percent
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