Scripps poll: Kerry ahead in key state of Ohio

[Nicholas_J]

By THOMAS HARGROVE and GUIDO H. STEMPEL III
Scripps Howard News Service
October 22, 2004

- Democrat John Kerry has a lead as high as 6 percent over President Bush in the key battleground state of Ohio, according to a survey completed Thursday night at Ohio University's Scripps Survey Research Center.

Among registered voters, Kerry leads 49 percent to Bush's 43 percent, with 2 percent saying they will support third party candidates and 6 percent undecided. Among likely voters (people who say they are committed to voting next month) Kerry's lead is 50 percent to 46 percent, with 3 percent undecided and 1 percent going to other candidates.

Since the margin of error for both calculations is 5 percent, Kerry's lead is not decisive.

The poll found that Kerry has solidly rallied his Democratic base, garnering support from 94 percent of self-described "strong Democrats" while the president is supported by 93 percent of "strong Republicans." Kerry, however, is doing slightly better among independents....

During campaign stops in Ohio, Kerry frequently has excoriated the Bush administration for the economic problems that plague Ohio. Kerry is supported by 67 percent of full-time workers who say they "frequently" worry they may lose their job, but by only 35 percent who say they "never" worry about the unemployment line.



http://www.knoxstudio.com/shns/story.cfm?pk=OHIOPOLL-10-22-04&cat=PP

This poll shows Kerry with a real lead in Ohio, though small, it is beyond the m,argin or error. This is has Kerry with as much of a leadin Ohio as Pennsylvania.

[John Q. Citizen]

1. This is great news. GOTV!

[vickie]

2. YYYYiiiiiiiiiiipppppppppppppeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[missouri dem]

3. The word is that the independents and soft republicians are

breaking for Kerry. Landslide. It is time to spread it around.

[PSU84]

4. Great news.

The latest Quinnipiac Univ. poll shows Kerry up by 5 points in PA.

Now....if we can just gain some ground in WISCONSIN!!!

Come on Wisconsin! Bush is BAD for you! He's bad for the USA!

WE NEED JOHN KERRY!!!

[USA_1]

5. Ohio

I understand that the Buckeye state had the greatest amount of job losses under Bush. In theory, it would appear that the state should be solidly behind Kerry and the Democrats whose pragmatic policies have historically generated tremendous job growth. With that in mind, why is the poll margin so small?

[shawmut]

6. Kerry seems to have done a great job in Ohio

I can remember not too long ago when it didn't look good for us in that state and some people thought we should throw everything into Florida instead.


Now we can get both. :)



edit: and great job by Ohio DU'ers who have played a major role in turning things around there too I'm sure!

[DaveinMD]

7. It doesn't hurt that

Bush visited Ohio today and extolled the virtues of free trade to a state that lost so many jobs because of his trade policies.