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Gallup "polls"...HILARIOUS!!!

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LynnTheDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 03:58 PM
Original message
Gallup "polls"...HILARIOUS!!!
Gallup and other pollsters who refuse to weight their samples for party identification say that weighting samples to reflect demographic and census data is more reliable that using party ID as a factor.

Yet after looking closely at the demographic breakdown of the sample that Gallup used to reach their conclusions, it becomes clear that Gallup has become the in-house pollster for Karl Rove and the GOP's view of how the American voting populace should look.

Why?

Because according to Gallup's poll this week, they expect the electorate to be 85% white, 41% conservative while only 19% liberal, and a third to make over $75,000 per year.

http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/003054.html

---And even assuming only 19% progressives (LOL!!!) bush is STILL BARELY AHEAD!

ROTFLMAO!!!

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TexasSissy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. Do you have info that the voters will be anything other than that mix
of people? I have no idea who actually shows up to vote.
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LynnTheDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. The usual mix is half & half, with 2-3% more Dems
Edited on Tue Oct-19-04 04:05 PM by LynnTheDem
Over the past several decades the mix has been apx 43% Dem, 40% rightwingnut and right now the average income family of 4 is I believe around the 40K mark, so Gallup is WAAAAY out of whack.

Dkos had a post within the past few days that showed the actual mix over the past several elections, as did Zogby; I'll post links when I run across them (I bet Dkos will be posting them again to show how truly off Gallup really is.)
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
3. I needed a "belly laugh".... it's not lunacy...it's propaganda trying
to brainwash people that awol is OK
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PDittie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
4. Amazing.
And only the left Blogosphere is there to call BS.
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HFishbine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. For Comparrson
Gallup: 85% white
2000 Election: 81% white

Gallup: 41% conservative
2000 Election: 29% conservative

Gallup: 19% liberal
2000 Election: 20% liberal

Gallup: 33% over $75,000/year
2000 Election: 28% over $75,000/year


http://www.udel.edu/poscir/road/course/exitpollsindex.html
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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. The polls have to reflect fraudulent electronic voting machine counts.
If the polling methods and samples were legitimate, Kerry would be up by 10-15 points in almost every poll. That would look awful strange when election results come in and find Bu$h and Kerry neck and neck.
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