Busy huricne season predicted

[pscot]

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2010/0310/Hurricane-season-forecast-seven-storms-to-reach-land

Joe Bastardi, the first private weather forecaster to look this year at the 2010 hurricane season, thinks it will be a rough one.

“This year has the chance to be an extreme season,” says Mr. Bastardi, AccuWeather.com’s chief long-range meteorologist in State College, Pa. “There will be a major bounce back of activity.”

Last year was a light hurricane season, with the fewest storms since 1997. Last March, Bastardi correctly predicted that it would be a below-normal storm year. But this season, he says, seven storms will reach land, and five of those will be hurricanes. Of those, two or three will be major events along the coastal United States.

“This hurricane season is going to be a lot more like 2008 than 2009,” he says. Two years ago was a very active hurricane season, with five major storms that included hurricane Gustav, which produced $6.6 billion in damage.

In early December, William Gray and Philip Klotzbach of Colorado State University issued an early assessment of the 2010 season that called for three to five major hurricanes. “We estimate that activity will return to levels more typical of years during an active era, such as what we have experienced since 1995,” wrote the forecasters. They will issue an updated forecast April 1st.

[Craftsman]

1. They said the same about last year

Not much happened.

[pscot]

4. Last year was an El Nino year

which is a hurricane killer. This year the ElNino is fading and the tropical Atlantic sea surface temps are quite high already. If I lived along the SE coast I would be paying attention.

[Craftsman]

5. I live in the Clear Lake area of Houston

I watch the hurricane very closely. Heck I have been in Alica, Rita, Ike, and Allison. I have walked in the eye of Ike and Alica.

[Spoonman]

6. Me TOO! (I actually surfed "Alicia" in Freeport - killer 10-15ft waves)

Born and raised in Deer Park! Class of 84'

[Craftsman]

7. I went to Rayburn

[Strelnikov_]

8. Further . .

There were some powerful storms last season, but due to El Nino induced steering currents they stayed well out to 'sea'. If memory serves me, there were records set regarding storm power so far out in the ocean.

Guess hurricane science is like climate science to most people. If it ain't happening outside their own window, it ain't happening. Kinda like two-legged Basset Hounds.

[Lochloosa]

2. I am a Native Floridian. We tend to think these estimates are full of ****

I'll issue my updated forecast in November.

[TheCowsCameHome]

3. ..because sometimes the darts land in different places.

Who really believes any of this stuff?

[guardian]

9. same old song

Heard this hyped every year since Katrina. Of course they've been wrong every year...but that doesn't stop repeating the same prediction. Of course....eventually....they will be right. Then we'll hear the doomers going on and on and on about how this 'proves' them right.