Global GHG Emissions On Track To Nearly Double By 2030, Australian Researchers Project

[hatrack]

GLOBAL greenhouse-gas emissions will almost double by 2030, a rate much faster than previously predicted, according to a paper co-written by the Federal Government's top climate change adviser.

A draft of the unpublished paper co-written by Professor Ross Garnaut says rapid economic growth in China is fuelling the increase and calls for developing countries to commit to binding emissions reduction targets to avoid such a "bleak" outcome.

The 2030 business-as-usual forecast is 11 per cent higher than the worst-case scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The paper predicts the world reaching a level of emissions 20 years earlier than that predicted by the groundbreaking Stern Review by British economist Nicholas Stern.

EDIT

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23628603-12377,00.html

[phantom power]

1. About the only "good" thing I can say on this topic...

(and it's only "good" in the very abstract sense of "possibly less terrible than some other possibilities") is that we're already entering the phase of involuntary demand-destruction, and any predictions of "business as usual" out as far as 2030 seem pretty unlikely to me. We're already beginning to deviate from business as usual.

[Viking12]

2. "much faster than previously predicted"

Where have I heard that before? A new twist here though with the modifier "much" preceding faster.

[hatrack]

3. Yeah, but as long as it's not "much faster than expected", it's all good!

:evilgrin: