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molly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-17-03 07:47 PM
Original message
Interesting statistical email
Edited on Wed Dec-17-03 07:48 PM by molly
I received from the Kerry campaign......

"Voter opinion is still fluid in the early Democratic primary states"
--Pew Research Center, 12/11/03

In 2000, 82% of Democrats decided who to vote for after January 1st(2000 exit polls).

In 1996, 67% of voters decided in the seven days before the election. (Chicago Sun Times)

John Kerry is in a statistical dead heat for 2nd place in Iowa, and in striking distance of the top spot. In prior NH primaries, Al Gore, John McCain and Gary Hart have all come from behind to win the primary.

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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-17-03 07:55 PM
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1. Interesting
He may pick up some undecideds, but Dean's supporters aren't going anywhere. The more Gep attacks in IA, the stronger Dean gets.

But I agree it may be closer in both IA and NH than people think. Could happen.
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