Predict the Midterm Elections

[The Whiskey Priest]

Poll question: Predict the Midterm Elections

Usually the Party holding the White House losses seat in congress. That theory did not hold for the 2002 midterm election. The Republicans picked up 6 seats in the House and 2 seats in the Senate.

In 2006, 33 Senators will be up for reelection, Democrats, plus Independent 18 seats, Republicans 15 seats. To gain control of the Senate, the Democrats would need to hold all seats and gain 6 from the Republicans.

The House has the Democrats will need to hold all seats and pick up 30 to gain control of the House.

[LSK]

1. i predict success in the house

Now if only we can quit the circular firing squads and unite to make it happen.

[Stevepol]

2. Republicans will gain a couple more seats in both houses AND

everyone will be shocked because both the pre-election polls and the exit polls indicated very much the opposite story.

There will be loud complaints about rigged voting machines, even more sound and fury than in 02 and 04, but of course no Dems will have to courage to state the obvious so the criminals who rigged the elections will breathe a sigh of relief and go about their preps for the next election rigging in 08.

Everybody else will call the Dems sore losers and whiners and tell them to get over it and move on.

[HomerRamone]

6. Yes, they will say that despite a few bad apples

people still support the conservative agenda.

[NoodleBoy]

3. here's my prediction:

1. Pundits will actually begin acknowledging that 2006 is the best chance we have to taking many seats in the House and Senate, if not outright winning majorities.

2. More activists will be recruited, but many potential activists will be turned away by the rantings of some people on the Internet about how the Democratic party is dead and they should form a third party, and will denigrate non-net based activism.

3. The elections come; the results aren't as good as expected. Analysts say the outcome would have gone better for us if we'd been able to recruit more activists.

4. The same people on the Internet, who persuaded some people not to get active, and who themselves have never set foot in a district meeting or knocked on a door in activism, will say that it's proof that the Democratic party is dead and that they should form a third party.

[Tiggeroshii]

4. I think we'll gain 14 Senate seats and 14 House seats....

Everything's too gerrymandered for us to win both Houses. The Senat's doable but the House is just not likely

[Chan790]

5. I think we gain a lot of seats...

but don't take either house of Congress. 6 and 30 are large swing gaps respectively for the Senate and the House. I do think that closing the House to within 10 and the Senate to within 2 or 3 gives us more than 50% control of the agenda though; the GOP defections on individual votes will go up as the GOP "pack" disintigrates.

Such a large closing would show the members of Congress that the American people(TM) don't like the GOP agenda. Even if BushCo doesn't care if they get re-elected in 2008, 2010 and 2012, I sure think the individual members do.

[WI_DEM]

7. I think there is a very good chance we could see another '94

with the dems gaining control of both houses of congress.