Could 2004 be like 1994?

[YEM]

I was wondering if pollsters could be missing the mark like they did in 1994. They did not see that coming. They did not sense the anger and energy that the Repukes had at that time. I would think that Bush motivates more dems then Clinton did to Repukes.

[TexasSissy]

1. You mean 1996? Or 1992?

[Was_Immer]

2. mid term elections

when the repukes swept the congress

[tedoll78]

3. That's what I'm wondering.

A tidal wave often goes undetected until it's just about to hit the coast. Until then, it's under the surface brewing, rolling along..

I wonder about this myself. Early voting turnout would definitely seem to point in that direction. Imagine having the Senate and the White House.. and soon thereafter, the Supreme Court..

[bullimiami]

4. i posted this question along with a link a few days ago

noone saw it coming. they said the repugs would do good but the dems would retain both houses and then BAM.

we are at least as angry as any pugs in '94, we have bigger numbers and we have churned out new voters in record numbers and the turnout is already huge.

think on this.

how many people, angry as hell with bush and the republicans for enabling him, are going to go to the polls, vote for kerry and then a repug congressman or senator?

i dont think there is going to be a lot of democratic ticket splittting this time.

[featherman]

5. My fondest wish

I am normally a hardcore realist in my Electoral Vote analysis but I confess I am silently hoping for the kind of turnout margin that could pull off a totally unexpected and unanticipated House flip ala 1994.
Sigh...a lovely daydream

[featherman]

7. It would be interesting to know how many GOP reps

in the House hypocritically ran on the Gingrich term limits platform in 1994 and are still in the House after 10 years and running once more. Most, I would guess.

[UpsideDownFlag]

6. no, because of one word: Jerrymandering.

it's literally almost impossible, because of the way redistricting has been done.

[autorank]

8. You bet! Big change in congress, not anticipated.

The Senate should change hands. The House is a question mark because the farking pollsters don't have their act together on methodology. The GOTV effort is finally being acknowledged and its a huge hit for us. Even the crappy Repig tactics cannot erase the huge advantages built up over the past 12 months. We will take the House and the chattering class will have to eat Jim Crow.