WHY THE "LIMITED" KERRY BOUNCE? BECAUSE HE WAS ALREADY LEADING, WOLFIE!

[TruthIsAll]

If he was ahead 49-45 and he goes to 53-41, that's a small
bounce?

To me, that's a lot stronger move than if it was a temporary
bounce from being down 45-49.

Remember Dukakis? Remember Gore? The jumped into the lead
after being down in the polls, but their numbers came right
back down soon afterwards.

Kerry is building a foundation which can only grow stronger.

Hey, Wolf. Bounce this.

Kerry has been leading EVERY month since Feb.

Notice I leave CNN/Gallup, FOX, and AP out of this group. No
outliars are invited to my party.

10 -POLL AVERAGE: 
IBD,ABC, NWK, ARG,NBC,CBS,PEW,LAT,ZOGBY,TIME				

Month Kerry	Bush 	Diff
Feb	48.00	45.43	2.57	
Mar	48.13	44.38	3.75	
Apr	47.38	44.88	2.50	
May	47.11	44.22	2.89	
June	47.13	45.00	2.13	
July	48.80	44.60	4.20											
				
AVG	47.76	44.75	3.01	

[HFishbine]

1. Kerry increased his lead three-fold?

That's all? </sarcasm>

[k in IA]

2. What is the 53-41 number from?

[TruthIsAll]

7. Its Newsweek post speech (Fri 7/30). Kerry vs. Bush, w/o Nader.

And it is 54-41. My bad.


From pollingreport.com:

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 29-30, 2004. N=1,010 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all registered voters).

Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, the third party candidates?"

Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Nader/Camejo Other (vol.)/Undecided
% % % %
ALL 42 49 3 6
Republicans 90 7 1 2
Democrats 8 86 1 5
Independents 39 45 7 9
Men 48 43 3 6
Women 37 53 3 7
18-29 32 51 9 8
30-49 47 46 2 5
50 & older 44 49 1 6
Southern white 54 38 3 5
Non-South, white 47 46 2 5
Non-white 20 65 5 10
Urban 30 63 2 5
Suburban 47 45 2 6
Rural 49 37 4 10

7/30 only 40 50 3 7 < its 54-41 Kerry w/o Nader
7/29 only 45 47 2 6
.

Trend:
7/8-9/04 44 47 3 6
.

"Suppose there were only two choices for president and vice president and you HAD TO CHOOSE between George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; and John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats. If the election were held TODAY, who would you vote for?" If neither: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans, or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats?"


Bush/Cheney Kerry/Edwards Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % %
7/29-30/04 44 52 4
7/8-9/04 45 51 4

[Clinton Crusader]

3. yes, where is this number from?

the 'Wolfie' screams CNN, I must have missed this...
:kick:

[PCIntern]

4. No CNN at work...did that a**hole

say that Kerry had a 12 pt lead? Yesterday he was saying that Kerry was trailing...

WTF?

[tom_paine]

5. Well, to get angry every time a Pravda Whore lies or spins

means you'll be angry every minute of every day.

I think F911 tipped the Pravda Whores over the edge.

They are going to REALLY SHOW US what they cna do to voluntraily become the State-Controlled Media.

They have already started getting MUCH WORSE.

Your numbers are correct only if the Amerika "Voting" System" is in considerably better shape than other aspects of the Wretched Remnants of the Old American Republic.

[LuminousX]

6. There is no bounce

What we are seeing is a surge, a slow and steady increase in national support. Bounces have a tendency to go up and come down. After the RNC, we will see their bounce will actually be a slowing in the Kerry Surge but it will not stop Kerry one bit.

Honestly, I am predicting that there is a good chance that there will be a negative backlash to the GOP convention.

[readmylips]

8. Question is, what is bush's bounce?

bush did get a bounch...downward.

[TruthIsAll]

9. That is my rhetoric, not Wolf's. He never even mentioned

the Newsweek poll, post the Kerry speech.

He never mentioned Zogby, either.

He is a putz.