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If the death toll (and this is a macabre topic, I know) mounts to over 1,000 or 2,000, which is entirely possible in the event that insurgency becomes generalized and groups like the Shia SCIRI take to arms, will the US public sour on the notion of "Operation Iraqi Freedom"?
I think so. I think that already we are seeing the beginnings of this, at home and among the troops. There is no collaborator Iraqi government to provide political cover for US forces. Iraq is a magnet for anti-US Arab forces. It could become a shooting gallery of sorts. Obviously, people with nothing to lose aren't afraid of US admonitions or brutality. As occupation drags on, suicide bombings and other unconventional war tactics will multiply, barring a major turn of events. This will cause the death toll to mount.
US media comment that "since 9/11," Americans will "more willing" to accept troop deaths, and that the "Vietnam syndrome" is gone. I don't believe it at all. Americans still demand that war serve certain aims, and that these be clear and just. As it becomes clear that the people of Iraq reject American occupation, the rationale of "Iraqi Freedom" brought by American missiles will evaporate.
It would be devastating to Bush's presidency if the insurgency cannot be stopped. And it lacks the means to do this-short of withdrawing all forces. We may face a different sort of landscape a year from now.
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